Current forecast guidance from agencies including MetService and NIWA points to a maximum of 11–12°C in Wellington on June 30, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes. Late June climatology shows typical daily highs near 12°C under near-average seasonal conditions, with no strong signals for significant deviation from the NIWA outlook. Short-range model runs emphasize southerly flows and possible cloud cover that cap daytime warming, while light winds and clearer intervals could allow brief rises toward 13°C. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent deterministic forecasts and historical analogs over longer-term variability, with resolution hinging on the official highest reading from the Kelburn station. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on June 30?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 30?
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$278,607 Обс.
$278,607 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$278,607 Обс.
$278,607 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
6°C or below
$21,680 Обс.
No
7°C
$18,620 Обс.
No
8°C
$29,317 Обс.
No
9°C
$23,936 Обс.
No
10°C
$32,004 Обс.
No
11°C
$29,441 Обс.
No
12°C
$24,308 Обс.
Yes
13°C
$22,394 Обс.
No
14°C
$29,709 Обс.
No
15°C
$25,161 Обс.
No
16°C or higher
$22,036 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from agencies including MetService and NIWA points to a maximum of 11–12°C in Wellington on June 30, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes. Late June climatology shows typical daily highs near 12°C under near-average seasonal conditions, with no strong signals for significant deviation from the NIWA outlook. Short-range model runs emphasize southerly flows and possible cloud cover that cap daytime warming, while light winds and clearer intervals could allow brief rises toward 13°C. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent deterministic forecasts and historical analogs over longer-term variability, with resolution hinging on the official highest reading from the Kelburn station. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$278,607Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from agencies including MetService and NIWA points to a maximum of 11–12°C in Wellington on June 30, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes. Late June climatology shows typical daily highs near 12°C under near-average seasonal conditions, with no strong signals for significant deviation from the NIWA outlook. Short-range model runs emphasize southerly flows and possible cloud cover that cap daytime warming, while light winds and clearer intervals could allow brief rises toward 13°C. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent deterministic forecasts and historical analogs over longer-term variability, with resolution hinging on the official highest reading from the Kelburn station. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$278,607Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current forecast guidance from agencies including MetService and NIWA points to a maximum of 11–12°C in Wellington on June 30, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes. Late June climatology shows typical daily highs near 12°C under near-average seasonal conditions, with no strong signals for significant deviation from the NIWA outlook. Short-range model runs emphasize southerly flows and possible cloud cover that cap daytime warming, while light winds and clearer intervals could allow brief rises toward 13°C. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent deterministic forecasts and historical analogs over longer-term variability, with resolution hinging on the official highest reading from the Kelburn station. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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