Official observations from Wellington International Airport confirm a midday peak of 17°C on May 6, 2026, under persistent mostly cloudy skies, high 90% humidity, and gusty northerlies at 30+ km/h, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. MetService forecasts align precisely, projecting no higher than 17°C as cloud cover suppresses solar heating despite northerly winds advecting milder maritime air above the climatological May average of 15–16°C. Ensemble model consensus shows minimal upside risk, with showers north of the harbor further capping temperatures. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing for rapid insolation-driven warming to 18°C or 19°C before sunset around 5 PM, though current trajectories make this unlikely; final airport data expected post-midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on May 6?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 6?
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$113,195 Обс.
$113,195 Обс.
May 6, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$113,195 Обс.
$113,195 Обс.
May 6, 2026
10°C or below
$11,572 Обс.
No
11°C
$10,693 Обс.
No
12°C
$8,952 Обс.
No
13°C
$1,489 Обс.
No
14°C
$2,811 Обс.
No
15°C
$6,602 Обс.
No
16°C
$19,190 Обс.
No
17°C
$17,127 Обс.
Yes
18°C
$17,684 Обс.
No
19°C
$13,665 Обс.
No
20°C or higher
$3,410 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Wellington International Airport confirm a midday peak of 17°C on May 6, 2026, under persistent mostly cloudy skies, high 90% humidity, and gusty northerlies at 30+ km/h, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. MetService forecasts align precisely, projecting no higher than 17°C as cloud cover suppresses solar heating despite northerly winds advecting milder maritime air above the climatological May average of 15–16°C. Ensemble model consensus shows minimal upside risk, with showers north of the harbor further capping temperatures. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing for rapid insolation-driven warming to 18°C or 19°C before sunset around 5 PM, though current trajectories make this unlikely; final airport data expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 4, 2026, 12:36 PM ET
Обсяг
$113,195Дата завершення
May 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 4, 2026, 12:36 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Wellington International Airport confirm a midday peak of 17°C on May 6, 2026, under persistent mostly cloudy skies, high 90% humidity, and gusty northerlies at 30+ km/h, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. MetService forecasts align precisely, projecting no higher than 17°C as cloud cover suppresses solar heating despite northerly winds advecting milder maritime air above the climatological May average of 15–16°C. Ensemble model consensus shows minimal upside risk, with showers north of the harbor further capping temperatures. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing for rapid insolation-driven warming to 18°C or 19°C before sunset around 5 PM, though current trajectories make this unlikely; final airport data expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$113,195Дата завершення
May 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 4, 2026, 12:36 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from Wellington International Airport confirm a midday peak of 17°C on May 6, 2026, under persistent mostly cloudy skies, high 90% humidity, and gusty northerlies at 30+ km/h, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. MetService forecasts align precisely, projecting no higher than 17°C as cloud cover suppresses solar heating despite northerly winds advecting milder maritime air above the climatological May average of 15–16°C. Ensemble model consensus shows minimal upside risk, with showers north of the harbor further capping temperatures. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing for rapid insolation-driven warming to 18°C or 19°C before sunset around 5 PM, though current trajectories make this unlikely; final airport data expected post-midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання