Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 21, 2026, backed by official METAR observations confirming a midday peak of exactly 17°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds. This marks a sharp cooldown from 28°C highs earlier in the week, driven by a passing frontal system that suppressed solar heating and introduced atmospheric instability, well below April climatological norms of around 22°C. With sunset approaching and overnight lows forecast near 11°C under continued showers per China Meteorological Administration guidance, realistic challenges like sudden clearing are improbable, as model ensembles show no significant warming potential remaining.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 21?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 21?
17°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$70,396 Обс.
$70,396 Обс.
Apr 21, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$70,396 Обс.
$70,396 Обс.
Apr 21, 2026
8°C or below
$572 Обс.
No
9°C
$654 Обс.
No
10°C
$1,271 Обс.
No
11°C
$1,469 Обс.
No
12°C
$2,453 Обс.
No
13°C
$2,975 Обс.
No
14°C
$4,400 Обс.
No
15°C
$10,557 Обс.
No
16°C
$6,623 Обс.
No
17°C
$19,205 Обс.
Yes
18°C or higher
$20,215 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 21, 2026, backed by official METAR observations confirming a midday peak of exactly 17°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds. This marks a sharp cooldown from 28°C highs earlier in the week, driven by a passing frontal system that suppressed solar heating and introduced atmospheric instability, well below April climatological norms of around 22°C. With sunset approaching and overnight lows forecast near 11°C under continued showers per China Meteorological Administration guidance, realistic challenges like sudden clearing are improbable, as model ensembles show no significant warming potential remaining.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$70,396Дата завершення
Apr 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 21, 2026, backed by official METAR observations confirming a midday peak of exactly 17°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds. This marks a sharp cooldown from 28°C highs earlier in the week, driven by a passing frontal system that suppressed solar heating and introduced atmospheric instability, well below April climatological norms of around 22°C. With sunset approaching and overnight lows forecast near 11°C under continued showers per China Meteorological Administration guidance, realistic challenges like sudden clearing are improbable, as model ensembles show no significant warming potential remaining.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$70,396Дата завершення
Apr 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 21, 2026, backed by official METAR observations confirming a midday peak of exactly 17°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds. This marks a sharp cooldown from 28°C highs earlier in the week, driven by a passing frontal system that suppressed solar heating and introduced atmospheric instability, well below April climatological norms of around 22°C. With sunset approaching and overnight lows forecast near 11°C under continued showers per China Meteorological Administration guidance, realistic challenges like sudden clearing are improbable, as model ensembles show no significant warming potential remaining.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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