Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH) on May 3, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the station's automated weather reports and METAR readings peaking at 25-26°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low humidity. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles predicting mid-20s°C highs, constrained by overcast conditions limiting solar insolation amid seasonal norms for early May (historical average ~26°C). Scenarios challenging this include rare post-day data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases; final Wunderground history confirmation expected soon after midnight local time.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 3?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 3?
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$77,749 Обс.
$77,749 Обс.
May 3, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$77,749 Обс.
$77,749 Обс.
May 3, 2026
19°C or below
$2,412 Обс.
No
20°C
$4,072 Обс.
No
21°C
$4,488 Обс.
No
22°C
$4,209 Обс.
No
23°C
$5,322 Обс.
No
24°C
$3,644 Обс.
No
25°C
$30,716 Обс.
No
26°C
$6,775 Обс.
Yes
27°C
$7,503 Обс.
No
28°C
$5,063 Обс.
No
29°C or higher
$3,546 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH) on May 3, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the station's automated weather reports and METAR readings peaking at 25-26°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low humidity. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles predicting mid-20s°C highs, constrained by overcast conditions limiting solar insolation amid seasonal norms for early May (historical average ~26°C). Scenarios challenging this include rare post-day data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases; final Wunderground history confirmation expected soon after midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 1, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Обсяг
$77,749Дата завершення
May 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 12:38 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH) on May 3, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the station's automated weather reports and METAR readings peaking at 25-26°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low humidity. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles predicting mid-20s°C highs, constrained by overcast conditions limiting solar insolation amid seasonal norms for early May (historical average ~26°C). Scenarios challenging this include rare post-day data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases; final Wunderground history confirmation expected soon after midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$77,749Дата завершення
May 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 12:38 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH) on May 3, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the station's automated weather reports and METAR readings peaking at 25-26°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low humidity. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles predicting mid-20s°C highs, constrained by overcast conditions limiting solar insolation amid seasonal norms for early May (historical average ~26°C). Scenarios challenging this include rare post-day data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases; final Wunderground history confirmation expected soon after midnight local time.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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