Starmer’s abrupt September 1 resignation as MP, weeks after losing the premiership, has opened an unscheduled by-election in the north London seat he held since 2015. Labour has yet to name a candidate while Green leader Zack Polanski actively considers standing, buoyed by strong recent Camden council results and lingering voter dissatisfaction over Gaza policy that lifted independents and Greens to 29% combined in 2024. Multiple independents and smaller-party figures remain in contention, Reform UK has confirmed it will contest, and the progressive electorate plus fragmented field produce tightly bunched probabilities. Candidate selections, local polling on housing and foreign policy, and turnout patterns will determine separation ahead of the vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSagal Abdi-Wali 24%
Zack Polanski 23%
Pat Callaghan 7%
James White 7%

Sagal Abdi-Wali
24%

Zack Polanski
23%

Pat Callaghan
7%

James White
7%

Keith Moffitt
6%

Adam Harrison
6%

Richard Olszewski
6%

Sarah Hayward
6%

Hamza Chowdhury
6%

Luisa Porritt
6%

Tricia Leman
5%

Lorna Jane Russell
5%

Georgia Gould
5%

David Stansell
5%

Jim Monahan
5%

Sarah Pochin
4%

Mehreen Malik
4%

Gio Spinella
4%

Oliver Cooper
4%

Charlie Clinton
3%

David Roberts
3%

Siân Berry
3%
Sagal Abdi-Wali 24%
Zack Polanski 23%
Pat Callaghan 7%
James White 7%

Sagal Abdi-Wali
24%

Zack Polanski
23%

Pat Callaghan
7%

James White
7%

Keith Moffitt
6%

Adam Harrison
6%

Richard Olszewski
6%

Sarah Hayward
6%

Hamza Chowdhury
6%

Luisa Porritt
6%

Tricia Leman
5%

Lorna Jane Russell
5%

Georgia Gould
5%

David Stansell
5%

Jim Monahan
5%

Sarah Pochin
4%

Mehreen Malik
4%

Gio Spinella
4%

Oliver Cooper
4%

Charlie Clinton
3%

David Roberts
3%

Siân Berry
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Starmer’s abrupt September 1 resignation as MP, weeks after losing the premiership, has opened an unscheduled by-election in the north London seat he held since 2015. Labour has yet to name a candidate while Green leader Zack Polanski actively considers standing, buoyed by strong recent Camden council results and lingering voter dissatisfaction over Gaza policy that lifted independents and Greens to 29% combined in 2024. Multiple independents and smaller-party figures remain in contention, Reform UK has confirmed it will contest, and the progressive electorate plus fragmented field produce tightly bunched probabilities. Candidate selections, local polling on housing and foreign policy, and turnout patterns will determine separation ahead of the vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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