President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act since taking office in 2025, primarily to address protests against expanded ICE enforcement operations and to bypass court restrictions on National Guard deployments in cities such as Los Angeles, Chicago, and Portland. The most recent threat came in January 2026 following an ICE shooting death in Minnesota that sparked demonstrations; the president later indicated he no longer saw an immediate need for military intervention. The Act has not been used since 1992, and a Senate reform bill introduced in June 2025 seeks to narrow its scope. Traders monitor ongoing immigration enforcement actions, state-federal tensions, and any escalation in domestic unrest as potential triggers, while noting the president's broad statutory discretion and historical reluctance to invoke the measure without state requests.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоАкт про повстання, на який посилається...?
$1,090,970 Обс.
30 червня
3%
31 грудня
17%
$1,090,970 Обс.
30 червня
3%
31 грудня
17%
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act since taking office in 2025, primarily to address protests against expanded ICE enforcement operations and to bypass court restrictions on National Guard deployments in cities such as Los Angeles, Chicago, and Portland. The most recent threat came in January 2026 following an ICE shooting death in Minnesota that sparked demonstrations; the president later indicated he no longer saw an immediate need for military intervention. The Act has not been used since 1992, and a Senate reform bill introduced in June 2025 seeks to narrow its scope. Traders monitor ongoing immigration enforcement actions, state-federal tensions, and any escalation in domestic unrest as potential triggers, while noting the president's broad statutory discretion and historical reluctance to invoke the measure without state requests.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання