President Trump has repeatedly floated invoking the Insurrection Act since taking office in January 2025, citing protests against ICE operations, court blocks on National Guard deployments in cities such as Los Angeles, Chicago, and Portland, and clashes in Minnesota following a January 2026 shooting during enforcement actions. Administration officials recommended against use at the southern border earlier in the term, and no invocation has occurred despite public threats tied to immigration enforcement and local resistance. With the 2026 midterms approaching, traders are assessing whether escalating domestic unrest, state-federal conflicts, or election-related claims could prompt the president to exercise this rarely used authority before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоАкт про повстання, на який посилається...?
$1,127,406 Обс.
September 30
2%
31 грудня
17%
$1,127,406 Обс.
September 30
2%
31 грудня
17%
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...President Trump has repeatedly floated invoking the Insurrection Act since taking office in January 2025, citing protests against ICE operations, court blocks on National Guard deployments in cities such as Los Angeles, Chicago, and Portland, and clashes in Minnesota following a January 2026 shooting during enforcement actions. Administration officials recommended against use at the southern border earlier in the term, and no invocation has occurred despite public threats tied to immigration enforcement and local resistance. With the 2026 midterms approaching, traders are assessing whether escalating domestic unrest, state-federal conflicts, or election-related claims could prompt the president to exercise this rarely used authority before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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