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Політика·Первинні

KY-06 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Політика·Первинні

KY-06 Republican Primary Winner

Ralph Alvarado 67%

Ryan Dotson 12.9%

Adam Perez Arquette 9.0%

Greg Plucinski 5%

Polymarket

$17,719 Обс.

Ralph Alvarado 67%

Ryan Dotson 12.9%

Adam Perez Arquette 9.0%

Greg Plucinski 5%

Polymarket

$17,719 Обс.

Ralph Alvarado

$6,947 Обс.

67%

Ryan Dotson

$7,661 Обс.

24%

Adam Perez Arquette

$1,426 Обс.

9%

Greg Plucinski

$803 Обс.

5%

Gavin Solomon

$882 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability for the Kentucky 6th Congressional District Republican primary, bolstered by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsement on April 9 and his fundraising edge in the open seat race vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's U.S. Senate bid. State Rep. Ryan Dotson holds 18.3% following his $200,000-plus self-loan and alignment with Alvarado on Trump support during February Spectrum News debates, though lacking similar high-profile backing. Lesser-known challengers Adam Perez Arquette (9.3%), Greg Plucinski (4.5%), and Gavin Solomon (0.9%) trail amid limited visibility. In Kentucky's closed primary on May 19, additional endorsements or internal polling could influence the competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$17,719
Дата завершення
May 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability for the Kentucky 6th Congressional District Republican primary, bolstered by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsement on April 9 and his fundraising edge in the open seat race vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's U.S. Senate bid. State Rep. Ryan Dotson holds 18.3% following his $200,000-plus self-loan and alignment with Alvarado on Trump support during February Spectrum News debates, though lacking similar high-profile backing. Lesser-known challengers Adam Perez Arquette (9.3%), Greg Plucinski (4.5%), and Gavin Solomon (0.9%) trail amid limited visibility. In Kentucky's closed primary on May 19, additional endorsements or internal polling could influence the competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$17,719
Дата завершення
May 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«KY-06 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Ralph Alvarado» з 67%, далі «Ryan Dotson» з 24%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «KY-06 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $17.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 18, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «KY-06 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «KY-06 Republican Primary Winner» — «Ralph Alvarado» з 67%. Наступний — «Ryan Dotson» з 24%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «KY-06 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.