Traders assign the highest implied probability to an 86-87°F minimum in Dallas on August 24, driven by short-range forecast models showing a strong warm air mass with limited nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies, light winds, and persistent subsidence from an upper-level ridge. Recent National Weather Service analyses confirm above-normal temperatures across north Texas, with ensemble guidance from NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts clustering tightly in the mid-80s for the overnight low. This setup deviates from typical late-August climatology, where daily minima average near 75°F, and upcoming model updates tonight will further refine the expected range before official observations resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Dallas on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 24?
86-87°F 59%
96-97°F 47%
98°F or higher 45%
88-89°F 30%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
79°F or below
29%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
59%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
19%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
47%
98°F or higher
45%
86-87°F 59%
96-97°F 47%
98°F or higher 45%
88-89°F 30%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
79°F or below
$0 Обс.
29%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
19%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
28%
84-85°F
$6 Обс.
27%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
59%
88-89°F
$0 Обс.
30%
90-91°F
$0 Обс.
19%
92-93°F
$55 Обс.
18%
94-95°F
$5 Обс.
2%
96-97°F
$5 Обс.
47%
98°F or higher
$185 Обс.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to an 86-87°F minimum in Dallas on August 24, driven by short-range forecast models showing a strong warm air mass with limited nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies, light winds, and persistent subsidence from an upper-level ridge. Recent National Weather Service analyses confirm above-normal temperatures across north Texas, with ensemble guidance from NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts clustering tightly in the mid-80s for the overnight low. This setup deviates from typical late-August climatology, where daily minima average near 75°F, and upcoming model updates tonight will further refine the expected range before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$256Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to an 86-87°F minimum in Dallas on August 24, driven by short-range forecast models showing a strong warm air mass with limited nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies, light winds, and persistent subsidence from an upper-level ridge. Recent National Weather Service analyses confirm above-normal temperatures across north Texas, with ensemble guidance from NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts clustering tightly in the mid-80s for the overnight low. This setup deviates from typical late-August climatology, where daily minima average near 75°F, and upcoming model updates tonight will further refine the expected range before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$256Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to an 86-87°F minimum in Dallas on August 24, driven by short-range forecast models showing a strong warm air mass with limited nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies, light winds, and persistent subsidence from an upper-level ridge. Recent National Weather Service analyses confirm above-normal temperatures across north Texas, with ensemble guidance from NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts clustering tightly in the mid-80s for the overnight low. This setup deviates from typical late-August climatology, where daily minima average near 75°F, and upcoming model updates tonight will further refine the expected range before official observations resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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