Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on July 11 points to a daily minimum near 81–82°F amid a stable subtropical pattern. High atmospheric moisture and warm Atlantic/Gulf Stream waters limit radiative cooling overnight, while light southeast winds and urban heat retention keep temperatures elevated relative to historical July averages of ~78–81°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with slight differences in cloud cover or seabreeze timing able to shift the exact low between the tightly priced 80–81°F and 82–83°F brackets. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecast details against Miami’s climatological tendency for persistent warmth, producing closely matched implied probabilities without strong directional signals from recent observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on July 11?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 11?
72-73°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$47,830 Обс.
$47,830 Обс.
Jul 11, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$47,830 Обс.
$47,830 Обс.
Jul 11, 2026
71°F or below
$6,161 Обс.
No
72-73°F
$5,507 Обс.
Yes
74-75°F
$6,529 Обс.
No
76-77°F
$4,797 Обс.
No
78-79°F
$2,420 Обс.
No
80-81°F
$6,377 Обс.
No
82-83°F
$5,919 Обс.
No
84-85°F
$5,126 Обс.
No
86-87°F
$1,930 Обс.
No
88-89°F
$1,195 Обс.
No
90°F or higher
$1,870 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on July 11 points to a daily minimum near 81–82°F amid a stable subtropical pattern. High atmospheric moisture and warm Atlantic/Gulf Stream waters limit radiative cooling overnight, while light southeast winds and urban heat retention keep temperatures elevated relative to historical July averages of ~78–81°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with slight differences in cloud cover or seabreeze timing able to shift the exact low between the tightly priced 80–81°F and 82–83°F brackets. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecast details against Miami’s climatological tendency for persistent warmth, producing closely matched implied probabilities without strong directional signals from recent observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$47,830Дата завершення
Jul 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on July 11 points to a daily minimum near 81–82°F amid a stable subtropical pattern. High atmospheric moisture and warm Atlantic/Gulf Stream waters limit radiative cooling overnight, while light southeast winds and urban heat retention keep temperatures elevated relative to historical July averages of ~78–81°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with slight differences in cloud cover or seabreeze timing able to shift the exact low between the tightly priced 80–81°F and 82–83°F brackets. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecast details against Miami’s climatological tendency for persistent warmth, producing closely matched implied probabilities without strong directional signals from recent observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$47,830Дата завершення
Jul 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on July 11 points to a daily minimum near 81–82°F amid a stable subtropical pattern. High atmospheric moisture and warm Atlantic/Gulf Stream waters limit radiative cooling overnight, while light southeast winds and urban heat retention keep temperatures elevated relative to historical July averages of ~78–81°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with slight differences in cloud cover or seabreeze timing able to shift the exact low between the tightly priced 80–81°F and 82–83°F brackets. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecast details against Miami’s climatological tendency for persistent warmth, producing closely matched implied probabilities without strong directional signals from recent observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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