Trader consensus around 71°F or below (40.5%) and the 78–81°F cluster reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling for Miami on July 17. Typical July minimums hover near 78–81°F under high humidity and subtropical maritime air, but scattered thunderstorms or variable cloud cover can either suppress cooling by trapping longwave radiation or enhance it during clearer intervals after daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on convective timing and sea-breeze strength, which directly modulate minimum temperatures; stronger onshore flow or lingering moisture tends to keep lows elevated near 80°F while drier, clearer conditions favor the lower bins. Upcoming NHC and local WFO updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on July 17?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 17?
76-77°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$18,252 Обс.
$18,252 Обс.
Jul 17, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$18,252 Обс.
$18,252 Обс.
Jul 17, 2026
71°F or below
$4,238 Обс.
No
72-73°F
$4,559 Обс.
No
74-75°F
$1,473 Обс.
No
76-77°F
$2,266 Обс.
Yes
78-79°F
$1,051 Обс.
No
80-81°F
$2,192 Обс.
No
82-83°F
$924 Обс.
No
84-85°F
$438 Обс.
No
86-87°F
$410 Обс.
No
88-89°F
$430 Обс.
No
90°F or higher
$272 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 71°F or below (40.5%) and the 78–81°F cluster reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling for Miami on July 17. Typical July minimums hover near 78–81°F under high humidity and subtropical maritime air, but scattered thunderstorms or variable cloud cover can either suppress cooling by trapping longwave radiation or enhance it during clearer intervals after daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on convective timing and sea-breeze strength, which directly modulate minimum temperatures; stronger onshore flow or lingering moisture tends to keep lows elevated near 80°F while drier, clearer conditions favor the lower bins. Upcoming NHC and local WFO updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$18,252Дата завершення
Jul 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 71°F or below (40.5%) and the 78–81°F cluster reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling for Miami on July 17. Typical July minimums hover near 78–81°F under high humidity and subtropical maritime air, but scattered thunderstorms or variable cloud cover can either suppress cooling by trapping longwave radiation or enhance it during clearer intervals after daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on convective timing and sea-breeze strength, which directly modulate minimum temperatures; stronger onshore flow or lingering moisture tends to keep lows elevated near 80°F while drier, clearer conditions favor the lower bins. Upcoming NHC and local WFO updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$18,252Дата завершення
Jul 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus around 71°F or below (40.5%) and the 78–81°F cluster reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling for Miami on July 17. Typical July minimums hover near 78–81°F under high humidity and subtropical maritime air, but scattered thunderstorms or variable cloud cover can either suppress cooling by trapping longwave radiation or enhance it during clearer intervals after daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on convective timing and sea-breeze strength, which directly modulate minimum temperatures; stronger onshore flow or lingering moisture tends to keep lows elevated near 80°F while drier, clearer conditions favor the lower bins. Upcoming NHC and local WFO updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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