**A persistent early summer heatwave across northern France is anchoring trader expectations for Paris's June 25 overnight low near 24–25 °C.** Recent model guidance and Météo-France analyses show a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies, light winds, and advection of warm subtropical air, which limits radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures elevated well above seasonal normals of roughly 14–16 °C. Ensemble forecasts cluster around 24–26 °C for the urban heat-island-adjusted minimum, producing the tight spread visible in current market prices (24 °C at 20.5 %, 25 °C at 24 %, 23 °C and 26 °C each near 20 %). Slight differences among leading outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speeds overnight, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C. With resolution less than 48 hours away and no major model shifts expected before then, the narrow clustering around 24–25 °C captures the consensus view of limited overnight cooling under continued anticyclonic conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on June 25?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 25?
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$17,810 Обс.
$17,810 Обс.
Jun 25, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$17,810 Обс.
$17,810 Обс.
Jun 25, 2026
22°C or below
$1,040 Обс.
No
23°C
$673 Обс.
No
24°C
$3,010 Обс.
No
25°C
$4,626 Обс.
Yes
26°C
$3,301 Обс.
No
27°C
$1,778 Обс.
No
28°C
$1,195 Обс.
No
29°C
$896 Обс.
No
30°C
$489 Обс.
No
31°C
$347 Обс.
No
32°C or higher
$453 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A persistent early summer heatwave across northern France is anchoring trader expectations for Paris's June 25 overnight low near 24–25 °C.** Recent model guidance and Météo-France analyses show a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies, light winds, and advection of warm subtropical air, which limits radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures elevated well above seasonal normals of roughly 14–16 °C. Ensemble forecasts cluster around 24–26 °C for the urban heat-island-adjusted minimum, producing the tight spread visible in current market prices (24 °C at 20.5 %, 25 °C at 24 %, 23 °C and 26 °C each near 20 %).
Slight differences among leading outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speeds overnight, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C. With resolution less than 48 hours away and no major model shifts expected before then, the narrow clustering around 24–25 °C captures the consensus view of limited overnight cooling under continued anticyclonic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,810Дата завершення
Jun 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A persistent early summer heatwave across northern France is anchoring trader expectations for Paris's June 25 overnight low near 24–25 °C.** Recent model guidance and Météo-France analyses show a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies, light winds, and advection of warm subtropical air, which limits radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures elevated well above seasonal normals of roughly 14–16 °C. Ensemble forecasts cluster around 24–26 °C for the urban heat-island-adjusted minimum, producing the tight spread visible in current market prices (24 °C at 20.5 %, 25 °C at 24 %, 23 °C and 26 °C each near 20 %).
Slight differences among leading outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speeds overnight, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C. With resolution less than 48 hours away and no major model shifts expected before then, the narrow clustering around 24–25 °C captures the consensus view of limited overnight cooling under continued anticyclonic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$17,810Дата завершення
Jun 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**A persistent early summer heatwave across northern France is anchoring trader expectations for Paris's June 25 overnight low near 24–25 °C.** Recent model guidance and Météo-France analyses show a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies, light winds, and advection of warm subtropical air, which limits radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures elevated well above seasonal normals of roughly 14–16 °C. Ensemble forecasts cluster around 24–26 °C for the urban heat-island-adjusted minimum, producing the tight spread visible in current market prices (24 °C at 20.5 %, 25 °C at 24 %, 23 °C and 26 °C each near 20 %). Slight differences among leading outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speeds overnight, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C. With resolution less than 48 hours away and no major model shifts expected before then, the narrow clustering around 24–25 °C captures the consensus view of limited overnight cooling under continued anticyclonic conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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