Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close alignment with the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecast for Tokyo's April 29 low temperature near 14–15°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting nocturnal radiative cooling overnight. Early morning observations hovered around 16–17°C, with models showing minimal further drop due to urban heat island effects in central Tokyo and light southerly winds trapping warmth. Differentiating 15°C (26.5% implied probability) from 14°C (22%) hinges on subtle variations in afternoon cloud trends and evening precipitation—thicker overcast favors the higher low, while brief clearing could enable a 1°C dip. JMA hourly updates expected through evening will refine resolution amid typical late-April mildness above historical 11°C norms.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on April 29?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on April 29?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$19,729 Обс.
$19,729 Обс.
Apr 29, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$19,729 Обс.
$19,729 Обс.
Apr 29, 2026
9°C or below
$1,036 Обс.
No
10°C
$2,574 Обс.
No
11°C
$2,071 Обс.
No
12°C
$1,766 Обс.
No
13°C
$1,577 Обс.
No
14°C
$1,429 Обс.
No
15°C
$1,494 Обс.
Yes
16°C
$1,418 Обс.
No
17°C
$1,031 Обс.
No
18°C
$2,602 Обс.
No
19°C or higher
$2,731 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close alignment with the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecast for Tokyo's April 29 low temperature near 14–15°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting nocturnal radiative cooling overnight. Early morning observations hovered around 16–17°C, with models showing minimal further drop due to urban heat island effects in central Tokyo and light southerly winds trapping warmth. Differentiating 15°C (26.5% implied probability) from 14°C (22%) hinges on subtle variations in afternoon cloud trends and evening precipitation—thicker overcast favors the higher low, while brief clearing could enable a 1°C dip. JMA hourly updates expected through evening will refine resolution amid typical late-April mildness above historical 11°C norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,729Дата завершення
Apr 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close alignment with the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecast for Tokyo's April 29 low temperature near 14–15°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting nocturnal radiative cooling overnight. Early morning observations hovered around 16–17°C, with models showing minimal further drop due to urban heat island effects in central Tokyo and light southerly winds trapping warmth. Differentiating 15°C (26.5% implied probability) from 14°C (22%) hinges on subtle variations in afternoon cloud trends and evening precipitation—thicker overcast favors the higher low, while brief clearing could enable a 1°C dip. JMA hourly updates expected through evening will refine resolution amid typical late-April mildness above historical 11°C norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$19,729Дата завершення
Apr 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close alignment with the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecast for Tokyo's April 29 low temperature near 14–15°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting nocturnal radiative cooling overnight. Early morning observations hovered around 16–17°C, with models showing minimal further drop due to urban heat island effects in central Tokyo and light southerly winds trapping warmth. Differentiating 15°C (26.5% implied probability) from 14°C (22%) hinges on subtle variations in afternoon cloud trends and evening precipitation—thicker overcast favors the higher low, while brief clearing could enable a 1°C dip. JMA hourly updates expected through evening will refine resolution amid typical late-April mildness above historical 11°C norms.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання