Japan Meteorological Agency observations from Tokyo's central station confirm the daily minimum temperature reached 17°C around 5 a.m. local time on May 4, 2026, with subsequent hourly readings climbing amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limited radiative cooling. This locks in near-certain trader consensus, as reflected in the 100% implied probability, supported by JMA's short-range mesoscale models forecasting exactly this mild low under a stable high-pressure ridge and warmer-than-average air mass over the Kanto Plain—elevated by urban heat island effects. Early May historical lows typically range 14–16°C, but cloud cover overnight suppressed further drops. JMA's daily summary, due later today, offers final verification; only an improbable data correction or unrecorded microclimate dip could shift it.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 4?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 4?
17°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$22,170 Обс.
$22,170 Обс.
May 4, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$22,170 Обс.
$22,170 Обс.
May 4, 2026
14°C or below
$4,189 Обс.
No
15°C
$2,573 Обс.
No
16°C
$2,297 Обс.
No
17°C
$2,904 Обс.
Yes
18°C
$1,411 Обс.
No
19°C
$5,659 Обс.
No
20°C
$562 Обс.
No
21°C
$415 Обс.
No
22°C
$445 Обс.
No
23°C
$1,419 Обс.
No
24°C or higher
$295 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations from Tokyo's central station confirm the daily minimum temperature reached 17°C around 5 a.m. local time on May 4, 2026, with subsequent hourly readings climbing amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limited radiative cooling. This locks in near-certain trader consensus, as reflected in the 100% implied probability, supported by JMA's short-range mesoscale models forecasting exactly this mild low under a stable high-pressure ridge and warmer-than-average air mass over the Kanto Plain—elevated by urban heat island effects. Early May historical lows typically range 14–16°C, but cloud cover overnight suppressed further drops. JMA's daily summary, due later today, offers final verification; only an improbable data correction or unrecorded microclimate dip could shift it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$22,170Дата завершення
May 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations from Tokyo's central station confirm the daily minimum temperature reached 17°C around 5 a.m. local time on May 4, 2026, with subsequent hourly readings climbing amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limited radiative cooling. This locks in near-certain trader consensus, as reflected in the 100% implied probability, supported by JMA's short-range mesoscale models forecasting exactly this mild low under a stable high-pressure ridge and warmer-than-average air mass over the Kanto Plain—elevated by urban heat island effects. Early May historical lows typically range 14–16°C, but cloud cover overnight suppressed further drops. JMA's daily summary, due later today, offers final verification; only an improbable data correction or unrecorded microclimate dip could shift it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$22,170Дата завершення
May 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Japan Meteorological Agency observations from Tokyo's central station confirm the daily minimum temperature reached 17°C around 5 a.m. local time on May 4, 2026, with subsequent hourly readings climbing amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limited radiative cooling. This locks in near-certain trader consensus, as reflected in the 100% implied probability, supported by JMA's short-range mesoscale models forecasting exactly this mild low under a stable high-pressure ridge and warmer-than-average air mass over the Kanto Plain—elevated by urban heat island effects. Early May historical lows typically range 14–16°C, but cloud cover overnight suppressed further drops. JMA's daily summary, due later today, offers final verification; only an improbable data correction or unrecorded microclimate dip could shift it.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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