Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the 50-55m range at 60% implied probability for Michael's second weekend domestic box office, driven by a robust $14.4 million Friday estimate—down just 64% from its record-shattering $40 million opening day—signaling strong fan word-of-mouth despite middling critical reception. The biopic's impressive weekday holds, including an $11 million Tuesday, pushed its first-week domestic cume to $130 million before the weekend kicked off, crossing $300 million globally and defying pre-release controversy. Light competition from holdovers like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie bolsters projections around $51 million per Deadline tracking, though Saturday/Sunday walkups and audience scores could push toward >55m territory in this closely contested market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено"Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office
>55m 59.1%
50-55m 40%
<35m <1%
40-45m <1%
$57,808 Обс.
$57,808 Обс.
May 4, 2026
<35m
<1%
35-40m
<1%
40-45m
<1%
45-50m
<1%
50-55m
40%
>55m
59%
>55m 59.1%
50-55m 40%
<35m <1%
40-45m <1%
$57,808 Обс.
$57,808 Обс.
May 4, 2026
<35m
$5,153 Обс.
<1%
35-40m
$9,837 Обс.
<1%
40-45m
$4,292 Обс.
<1%
45-50m
$9,492 Обс.
<1%
50-55m
$13,281 Обс.
40%
>55m
$15,753 Обс.
59%
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the 50-55m range at 60% implied probability for Michael's second weekend domestic box office, driven by a robust $14.4 million Friday estimate—down just 64% from its record-shattering $40 million opening day—signaling strong fan word-of-mouth despite middling critical reception. The biopic's impressive weekday holds, including an $11 million Tuesday, pushed its first-week domestic cume to $130 million before the weekend kicked off, crossing $300 million globally and defying pre-release controversy. Light competition from holdovers like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie bolsters projections around $51 million per Deadline tracking, though Saturday/Sunday walkups and audience scores could push toward >55m territory in this closely contested market.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ET
Обсяг
$57,808Дата завершення
May 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the 50-55m range at 60% implied probability for Michael's second weekend domestic box office, driven by a robust $14.4 million Friday estimate—down just 64% from its record-shattering $40 million opening day—signaling strong fan word-of-mouth despite middling critical reception. The biopic's impressive weekday holds, including an $11 million Tuesday, pushed its first-week domestic cume to $130 million before the weekend kicked off, crossing $300 million globally and defying pre-release controversy. Light competition from holdovers like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie bolsters projections around $51 million per Deadline tracking, though Saturday/Sunday walkups and audience scores could push toward >55m territory in this closely contested market.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Обсяг
$57,808Дата завершення
May 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the 50-55m range at 60% implied probability for Michael's second weekend domestic box office, driven by a robust $14.4 million Friday estimate—down just 64% from its record-shattering $40 million opening day—signaling strong fan word-of-mouth despite middling critical reception. The biopic's impressive weekday holds, including an $11 million Tuesday, pushed its first-week domestic cume to $130 million before the weekend kicked off, crossing $300 million globally and defying pre-release controversy. Light competition from holdovers like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie bolsters projections around $51 million per Deadline tracking, though Saturday/Sunday walkups and audience scores could push toward >55m territory in this closely contested market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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