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Вибори·Первинні

NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Вибори·Первинні

NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner

John Cavanaugh 56%

Denise Powell 32%

Mark Johnston 3.2%

Evangelos Argyrakis 2.9%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

John Cavanaugh 56%

Denise Powell 32%

Mark Johnston 3.2%

Evangelos Argyrakis 2.9%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

John Cavanaugh

$4,095 Обс.

56%

Denise Powell

$852 Обс.

32%

Mark Johnston

$1,469 Обс.

3%

Evangelos Argyrakis

$333 Обс.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. John Cavanaugh leads trader consensus in the closely contested NE-02 Democratic primary due to his established legislative profile, family political legacy, and early fundraising momentum that overtook rival Denise Powell in February. Recent developments boosting Powell include a partisan poll on April 9 showing her edging ahead 41-34% after candidate messaging, followed by a $1 million ad campaign launched April 13 by EMILY's List, CHC BOLD PAC, and Elect Democratic Women emphasizing her electability. GOP-backed ads attacking Cavanaugh as Trump-aligned have drawn backlash, while a KETV candidate forum last week highlighted attack lines over his potential state Senate vacancy. With the May 12 primary nearing, turnout among Omaha-area voters and swing-state dynamics will tip the balance in this open-seat race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$6,749
Дата завершення
May 12, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. John Cavanaugh leads trader consensus in the closely contested NE-02 Democratic primary due to his established legislative profile, family political legacy, and early fundraising momentum that overtook rival Denise Powell in February. Recent developments boosting Powell include a partisan poll on April 9 showing her edging ahead 41-34% after candidate messaging, followed by a $1 million ad campaign launched April 13 by EMILY's List, CHC BOLD PAC, and Elect Democratic Women emphasizing her electability. GOP-backed ads attacking Cavanaugh as Trump-aligned have drawn backlash, while a KETV candidate forum last week highlighted attack lines over his potential state Senate vacancy. With the May 12 primary nearing, turnout among Omaha-area voters and swing-state dynamics will tip the balance in this open-seat race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$6,749
Дата завершення
May 12, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «John Cavanaugh» з 56%, далі «Denise Powell» з 32%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Nov 25, 2025. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner» — «John Cavanaugh» з 56%. Наступний — «Denise Powell» з 32%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.