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Політика·DHS

Number of US Flights Delayed April 6?

icon for Number of US Flights Delayed April 6?
Політика·DHS

Number of US Flights Delayed April 6?

Ended: Apr 6

Ended: Apr 6

Polymarket

$19,889 Обс.

$19,889 Обс.

6,000-6,500

$8,016 Обс.

No

6,500-7,000

$6,298 Обс.

Yes

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics data confirms approximately 6,800 US commercial flights arrived over 15 minutes late on April 6, 2026—Easter Monday—locking trader consensus at 100% probability for the 6,500-7,000 bin amid peak post-holiday travel volume and lingering severe spring storms disrupting major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago O'Hare, New York-area airports, and San Francisco. FAA ground delay programs at SFO and Florida sites compounded air traffic control bottlenecks from high demand, elevating delays above typical spring averages of 5,000-6,000. While resolution awaits final DOT verification, realistic challenges include rare data revisions from carrier reports or reclassifications, though historical patterns show minimal post-preliminary adjustments.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Обсяг
$19,889
Дата завершення
Apr 6, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics data confirms approximately 6,800 US commercial flights arrived over 15 minutes late on April 6, 2026—Easter Monday—locking trader consensus at 100% probability for the 6,500-7,000 bin amid peak post-holiday travel volume and lingering severe spring storms disrupting major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago O'Hare, New York-area airports, and San Francisco. FAA ground delay programs at SFO and Florida sites compounded air traffic control bottlenecks from high demand, elevating delays above typical spring averages of 5,000-6,000. While resolution awaits final DOT verification, realistic challenges include rare data revisions from carrier reports or reclassifications, though historical patterns show minimal post-preliminary adjustments.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Обсяг
$19,889
Дата завершення
Apr 6, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Number of US Flights Delayed April 6?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «6,500-7,000» з 100%, далі «6,000-6,500» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Number of US Flights Delayed April 6?» згенерував $19.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 3, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Number of US Flights Delayed April 6?», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Number of US Flights Delayed April 6?» — «6,500-7,000» з 100%. Наступний — «6,000-6,500» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Number of US Flights Delayed April 6?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.