Claire Valdez leads trader consensus at 69 percent implied probability for the June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 7th Congressional District, ahead of Antonio Reynoso at 28 percent. The race to succeed retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez has sharpened divisions between Democratic Socialists of America-backed candidates and broader progressive and labor coalitions. A late-May Emerson poll showed Valdez narrowly ahead of Reynoso among likely Democratic primary voters, with high undecided shares, while Valdez edges Reynoso in early fundraising. Reynoso benefits from Velázquez’s endorsement, organized labor support, and his record as Brooklyn borough president, yet market pricing reflects Valdez’s momentum from Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s backing and DSA organizational strength in Queens and Brooklyn turnout efforts. Other candidates remain far behind in both polling and pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоClaire Valdez 69%
Antonio Reynoso 28%
Julie Won 4.2%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
$131,773 Обс.
$131,773 Обс.
Claire Valdez
69%
Antonio Reynoso
28%
Julie Won
6%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
Claire Valdez 69%
Antonio Reynoso 28%
Julie Won 4.2%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
$131,773 Обс.
$131,773 Обс.
Claire Valdez
69%
Antonio Reynoso
28%
Julie Won
6%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Claire Valdez leads trader consensus at 69 percent implied probability for the June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 7th Congressional District, ahead of Antonio Reynoso at 28 percent. The race to succeed retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez has sharpened divisions between Democratic Socialists of America-backed candidates and broader progressive and labor coalitions. A late-May Emerson poll showed Valdez narrowly ahead of Reynoso among likely Democratic primary voters, with high undecided shares, while Valdez edges Reynoso in early fundraising. Reynoso benefits from Velázquez’s endorsement, organized labor support, and his record as Brooklyn borough president, yet market pricing reflects Valdez’s momentum from Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s backing and DSA organizational strength in Queens and Brooklyn turnout efforts. Other candidates remain far behind in both polling and pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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