Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% on Barack Obama facing arrest before 2027, reflecting the absence of any indictment, charges, or arrest warrant against the former president despite heightened political rhetoric. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard's July 2025 declassifications alleged a "treasonous conspiracy" by Obama-era officials—including John Brennan and James Clapper—in the 2016 Russia investigation, prompting DOJ grand jury probes under Attorney General Pam Bondi that continue into 2026 targeting aides but not Obama directly. President Trump's calls for accountability and viral AI-generated arrest videos fueled March-April rumors, yet fact-checks confirm no evidence of proceedings advancing to prosecution. Legal barriers for former presidents, evidentiary gaps, and institutional caution sustain the heavy favoritism toward no arrest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% on Barack Obama facing arrest before 2027, reflecting the absence of any indictment, charges, or arrest warrant against the former president despite heightened political rhetoric. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard's July 2025 declassifications alleged a "treasonous conspiracy" by Obama-era officials—including John Brennan and James Clapper—in the 2016 Russia investigation, prompting DOJ grand jury probes under Attorney General Pam Bondi that continue into 2026 targeting aides but not Obama directly. President Trump's calls for accountability and viral AI-generated arrest videos fueled March-April rumors, yet fact-checks confirm no evidence of proceedings advancing to prosecution. Legal barriers for former presidents, evidentiary gaps, and institutional caution sustain the heavy favoritism toward no arrest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,096Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% on Barack Obama facing arrest before 2027, reflecting the absence of any indictment, charges, or arrest warrant against the former president despite heightened political rhetoric. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard's July 2025 declassifications alleged a "treasonous conspiracy" by Obama-era officials—including John Brennan and James Clapper—in the 2016 Russia investigation, prompting DOJ grand jury probes under Attorney General Pam Bondi that continue into 2026 targeting aides but not Obama directly. President Trump's calls for accountability and viral AI-generated arrest videos fueled March-April rumors, yet fact-checks confirm no evidence of proceedings advancing to prosecution. Legal barriers for former presidents, evidentiary gaps, and institutional caution sustain the heavy favoritism toward no arrest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$4,096Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% on Barack Obama facing arrest before 2027, reflecting the absence of any indictment, charges, or arrest warrant against the former president despite heightened political rhetoric. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard's July 2025 declassifications alleged a "treasonous conspiracy" by Obama-era officials—including John Brennan and James Clapper—in the 2016 Russia investigation, prompting DOJ grand jury probes under Attorney General Pam Bondi that continue into 2026 targeting aides but not Obama directly. President Trump's calls for accountability and viral AI-generated arrest videos fueled March-April rumors, yet fact-checks confirm no evidence of proceedings advancing to prosecution. Legal barriers for former presidents, evidentiary gaps, and institutional caution sustain the heavy favoritism toward no arrest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання