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Політика·James Comey

Who will be arrested before 2027?

icon for Who will be arrested before 2027?
Політика·James Comey

Who will be arrested before 2027?

$119,782 Обс.

Polymarket

$119,782 Обс.

Polymarket

John Brennan

$6,677 Обс.

40%

James Clapper

$2,658 Обс.

24%

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero

$7,975 Обс.

30%

Brandon Johnson

$1,887 Обс.

27%

Tom Homan

$29,701 Обс.

18%

Letitia James

$1,340 Обс.

28%

Loretta Lynch

$472 Обс.

11%

Adam Schiff

$6,726 Обс.

9%

Anthony Fauci

$8,098 Обс.

8%

Candace Owens

$257 Обс.

7%

John Kerry

$99 Обс.

7%

Kash Patel

$153 Обс.

7%

Hillary Clinton

$15,653 Обс.

6%

Lisa Cook

$590 Обс.

6%

Gavin Newsom

$19,192 Обс.

5%

Pam Bondi

$1,546 Обс.

5%

Lee Jun-seok

$555 Обс.

28%

Bill Clinton

$332 Обс.

4%

Joe Biden

$2,047 Обс.

4%

Barack Obama

$2,857 Обс.

4%

James Comey

$9,244 Обс.

17%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$275 Обс.

51%

Mahmoud Khalil

$1,190 Обс.

51%

Susan Rice

$262 Обс.

48%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Department of Justice reviews and a 2025 grand jury examination into the Obama-era Russia investigation have produced document releases and witness interviews but no indictments against former officials as of mid-2026, sustaining trader focus on intelligence community figures. John Brennan leads implied probabilities near 50 percent, followed closely by Susan Rice, amid continued scrutiny of Crossfire Hurricane procedures and related referrals. No arrests of listed candidates have occurred in recent months, while separate markets track figures such as Lee Jae-myung in South Korea. Resolution hinges on federal charging decisions or detentions by December 31, 2026, with any new indictments or plea developments likely to shift positioning ahead of the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$119,782
Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Department of Justice reviews and a 2025 grand jury examination into the Obama-era Russia investigation have produced document releases and witness interviews but no indictments against former officials as of mid-2026, sustaining trader focus on intelligence community figures. John Brennan leads implied probabilities near 50 percent, followed closely by Susan Rice, amid continued scrutiny of Crossfire Hurricane procedures and related referrals. No arrests of listed candidates have occurred in recent months, while separate markets track figures such as Lee Jae-myung in South Korea. Resolution hinges on federal charging decisions or detentions by December 31, 2026, with any new indictments or plea developments likely to shift positioning ahead of the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$119,782
Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Who will be arrested before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 24 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Benjamin Netanyahu» з 51%, далі «Mahmoud Khalil» з 51%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Who will be arrested before 2027?» згенерував $119.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 30, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Who will be arrested before 2027?», перегляньте 24 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Who will be arrested before 2027?» — «Benjamin Netanyahu» з 51%. Наступний — «Mahmoud Khalil» з 51%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Who will be arrested before 2027?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.