Rep. Kevin Hern's commanding 92% implied probability in the Oklahoma Republican Senate primary stems from President Trump's early endorsement in mid-March, which cleared the field by deterring rivals like Rep. Stephanie Bice, combined with backing from Senate Majority Leader John Thune and NRSC Chair Tim Scott. As former House Republican Policy Committee chair, Hern entered first on March 11 following Sen. Markwayne Mullin's nomination as DHS Secretary, filed by the April 3 deadline, and boasts dominant fundraising with $1.8 million raised in Q1 and $8.2 million cash on hand. The June 16 primary favors his incumbency and America First credentials in deep-red Oklahoma, though a major scandal, late-breaking endorsement for a challenger like Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell, or unexpected voter turnout shifts could narrow the gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOklahoma Republican Senate Primary Winner
Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary Winner
Kevin Hern 92%
Matt Pinnell 2.4%
Wayne Lonny Washington 2.3%
Stephanie Bice 1.6%
$56,672 Обс.
$56,672 Обс.
Kevin Hern
92%
Matt Pinnell
2%
Wayne Lonny Washington
2%
Stephanie Bice
2%
Nick Hankins
1%
Ron Meinhardt
1%
Markwayne Mullin
1%
John M. O’Connor
1%
Donelle Harder
<1%
Tammy Swearengin
<1%
Kevin Hern 92%
Matt Pinnell 2.4%
Wayne Lonny Washington 2.3%
Stephanie Bice 1.6%
$56,672 Обс.
$56,672 Обс.
Kevin Hern
92%
Matt Pinnell
2%
Wayne Lonny Washington
2%
Stephanie Bice
2%
Nick Hankins
1%
Ron Meinhardt
1%
Markwayne Mullin
1%
John M. O’Connor
1%
Donelle Harder
<1%
Tammy Swearengin
<1%
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rep. Kevin Hern's commanding 92% implied probability in the Oklahoma Republican Senate primary stems from President Trump's early endorsement in mid-March, which cleared the field by deterring rivals like Rep. Stephanie Bice, combined with backing from Senate Majority Leader John Thune and NRSC Chair Tim Scott. As former House Republican Policy Committee chair, Hern entered first on March 11 following Sen. Markwayne Mullin's nomination as DHS Secretary, filed by the April 3 deadline, and boasts dominant fundraising with $1.8 million raised in Q1 and $8.2 million cash on hand. The June 16 primary favors his incumbency and America First credentials in deep-red Oklahoma, though a major scandal, late-breaking endorsement for a challenger like Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell, or unexpected voter turnout shifts could narrow the gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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