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Вибори·Початкова школа Пенсільванії

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

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Вибори·Початкова школа Пенсільванії

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bob Brooks 57%

Ryan Crosswell 38%

Lamont McClure 4.0%

Carol Obando-Derstine 2.5%

Polymarket

$15,884 Обс.

Bob Brooks 57%

Ryan Crosswell 38%

Lamont McClure 4.0%

Carol Obando-Derstine 2.5%

Polymarket

$15,884 Обс.

Bob Brooks

$2,104 Обс.

57%

Ryan Crosswell

$2,629 Обс.

38%

Lamont McClure

$3,411 Обс.

4%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$4,163 Обс.

2%

Aiden Gonzalez

$1,468 Обс.

1%

Lewis Shupe

$2,109 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks leads Polymarket odds at 57.5% in the PA-07 Democratic primary due to a recent Change Research survey of primary voters showing him surging to 30% support—well ahead of rivals—after exposure to candidate biographies, underscoring his appeal as Pennsylvania firefighters union president with endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, and labor groups. Ryan Crosswell holds at 37.5% on superior fundraising ($1.6 million raised, $715,000 cash on hand as of March 31) and his profile as a former Marine prosecutor who resigned from Trump's DOJ over corruption concerns. The April 1 televised debate and recent forums highlighted divides on affordability and worker issues, while emerging questions about Brooks' personal finances have yet to shift trader consensus ahead of the May 19 primary. Lower probabilities for McClure, Obando-Derstine, and others reflect trailing polls and resources in this competitive Lehigh Valley swing district race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$15,884
Дата завершення
May 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks leads Polymarket odds at 57.5% in the PA-07 Democratic primary due to a recent Change Research survey of primary voters showing him surging to 30% support—well ahead of rivals—after exposure to candidate biographies, underscoring his appeal as Pennsylvania firefighters union president with endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, and labor groups. Ryan Crosswell holds at 37.5% on superior fundraising ($1.6 million raised, $715,000 cash on hand as of March 31) and his profile as a former Marine prosecutor who resigned from Trump's DOJ over corruption concerns. The April 1 televised debate and recent forums highlighted divides on affordability and worker issues, while emerging questions about Brooks' personal finances have yet to shift trader consensus ahead of the May 19 primary. Lower probabilities for McClure, Obando-Derstine, and others reflect trailing polls and resources in this competitive Lehigh Valley swing district race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$15,884
Дата завершення
May 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Bob Brooks» з 57%, далі «Ryan Crosswell» з 38%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $15.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 20, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Bob Brooks» з 57%. Наступний — «Ryan Crosswell» з 38%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.