The closely contested June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez, confirmed after a fragmented first round, drives trader expectations for second-round turnout in the 70–75% or 75–80% ranges. Peru’s first-round turnout reached 73.81% amid logistical delays at some polling stations that reduced participation locally by several points. Late-May surveys show a tight race with undecided and blank-ballot shares near 27%, creating incentives for both campaigns to mobilize supporters while raising the possibility of voter fatigue after repeated elections in recent years. Historical patterns in Peruvian runoffs and the brief three-week campaign window further anchor probabilities around first-round levels rather than sharp increases or declines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPeru Election 2nd Round: Turnout?
70–75% 56%
75–80% 40%
80–85% 5.7%
<70% 3.4%
$36,576 Обс.
$36,576 Обс.
<70%
3%
70–75%
56%
75–80%
40%
80–85%
6%
>85%
<1%
70–75% 56%
75–80% 40%
80–85% 5.7%
<70% 3.4%
$36,576 Обс.
$36,576 Обс.
<70%
3%
70–75%
56%
75–80%
40%
80–85%
6%
>85%
<1%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the second round Peru presidential election, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the second-round Presidential (Presidencial) election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Ринок відкрито: May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the second round Peru presidential election, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the second-round Presidential (Presidencial) election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez, confirmed after a fragmented first round, drives trader expectations for second-round turnout in the 70–75% or 75–80% ranges. Peru’s first-round turnout reached 73.81% amid logistical delays at some polling stations that reduced participation locally by several points. Late-May surveys show a tight race with undecided and blank-ballot shares near 27%, creating incentives for both campaigns to mobilize supporters while raising the possibility of voter fatigue after repeated elections in recent years. Historical patterns in Peruvian runoffs and the brief three-week campaign window further anchor probabilities around first-round levels rather than sharp increases or declines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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