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Фінанси·SPX

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 20?

Market icon
Фінанси·SPX

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 20?

4:00PM Apr 20

4:00PM Apr 20

Up

47% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ

Up

47% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, April 20, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, April 20, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, April 20, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, April 20, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".

US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea
ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Обсяг
$1,966
Дата завершення
Apr 20, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 17, 2026, 8:00 AM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, April 20, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, April 20, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, April 20, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, April 20, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, April 20, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, April 20, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".

US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea
ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Обсяг
$1,966
Дата завершення
Apr 20, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 17, 2026, 8:00 AM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, April 20, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, April 20, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

"S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 20?" — це щоденний ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції на те, чи ціна S&P 500 закриється вище ("Up") або нижче ("Down") за початкову ціну протягом вікна щоденний, вказаного в назві. Поточна ринкова ймовірність — 54% для "Down". Ціна 54% означає, що ринок колективно оцінює цей результат з ймовірністю 54%. Ціни оновлюються в реальному часі, реагуючи на живі рухи ціни S&P 500. Акції правильного результату можна обміняти на $1 кожну після вирішення.

"S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 20?" — це активний короткостроковий ринок на Polymarket. Торговий обсяг може швидко накопичуватися по мірі просування вікна щоденний — заходьте рано, щоб допомогти встановити шанси до закриття вікна.

Щоб торгувати на "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 20?", вирішіть, чи ціна S&P 500 опівдні ET April 20 буде вищою ("Up") або нижчою ("Down") за ціну S&P 500 опівдні ET April 20. Купуйте "Up" якщо вважаєте, що ціна зросте день до дня, або "Down" якщо впаде. Введіть суму та натисніть "Trade". Правильний результат — $1.00 за акцію. Неправильний — $0.

Поточна ймовірність для "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 20?" — 54% для "Down", що означає: спільнота Polymarket наразі оцінює ймовірність того, що ціна S&P 500 закриється down протягом цього вікна щоденний, як 54%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, реагуючи на живі дані цін S&P 500. Протягом дня шанси відображають настрої, що змінюються по мірі розгортання цінової дії. Повертайтеся частіше або торгуйте зараз, поки вікно не закрилося.

Ринок "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 20?" вирішується порівнянням ціни S&P 500 опівдні ET April 20 з опівднем ET April 20, використовуючи хвилинні свічки Binance SPX/USDT. Якщо ціна April 20 опівдні вища — "Up"; нижча — "Down"; рівна — ринок вирішується 50-50. Деталі в розділі "Rules".