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Технологія·Big Tech

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Market icon
Технологія·Big Tech

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Up

84% шанс
Polymarket

$22,851 Обс.

Up

84% шанс
Polymarket

$22,851 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Up" for tech layoffs in 2026 at 83% implied probability, driven by a explosive Q1 where nearly 80,000 jobs were cut globally—nearly 50% attributed to AI automation and workforce restructuring at firms like Oracle, Amazon, and Block. Trackers such as TrueUp.io report over 95,000 impacts year-to-date through mid-April, already surpassing Q1 2025 figures and putting 2026 on pace to exceed last year's estimated 127,000–154,000 U.S. tech cuts. Ongoing AI integrations, cost pressures amid economic uncertainty, and recent April announcements from Snap and others reinforce this trajectory, though Q2 earnings and hiring rebounds could temper the pace before year-end resolution based on information sector data.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$22,851
Дата завершення
Feb 28, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Up" for tech layoffs in 2026 at 83% implied probability, driven by a explosive Q1 where nearly 80,000 jobs were cut globally—nearly 50% attributed to AI automation and workforce restructuring at firms like Oracle, Amazon, and Block. Trackers such as TrueUp.io report over 95,000 impacts year-to-date through mid-April, already surpassing Q1 2025 figures and putting 2026 on pace to exceed last year's estimated 127,000–154,000 U.S. tech cuts. Ongoing AI integrations, cost pressures amid economic uncertainty, and recent April announcements from Snap and others reinforce this trajectory, though Q2 earnings and hiring rebounds could temper the pace before year-end resolution based on information sector data.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$22,851
Дата завершення
Feb 28, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

"Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" — це щоденний ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції на те, чи ціна Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? закриється вище ("Up") або нижче ("Down") за початкову ціну протягом вікна щоденний, вказаного в назві. Поточна ринкова ймовірність — 84% для "Up". Ціна 84% означає, що ринок колективно оцінює цей результат з ймовірністю 84%. Ціни оновлюються в реальному часі, реагуючи на живі рухи ціни Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?. Акції правильного результату можна обміняти на $1 кожну після вирішення.

На сьогодні "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" згенерував $22.9K загального торгового обсягу. Ринки Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? Up or Down приваблюють активних трейдерів, які реагують на живі рухи цін — цей рівень активності допомагає забезпечити інформованість поточних шансів Up/Down глибоким пулом учасників. Ви можете відстежувати живі ціни та торгувати прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?", вирішіть, чи ціна Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? опівдні ET February 27 буде вищою ("Up") або нижчою ("Down") за ціну Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? опівдні ET March 20. Купуйте "Up" якщо вважаєте, що ціна зросте день до дня, або "Down" якщо впаде. Введіть суму та натисніть "Trade". Правильний результат — $1.00 за акцію. Неправильний — $0.

Поточна ймовірність для "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" — 84% для "Up", що означає: спільнота Polymarket наразі оцінює ймовірність того, що ціна Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? закриється up протягом цього вікна щоденний, як 84%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, реагуючи на живі дані цін Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?. Протягом дня шанси відображають настрої, що змінюються по мірі розгортання цінової дії. Повертайтеся частіше або торгуйте зараз, поки вікно не закрилося.

Ринок "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?" вирішується порівнянням ціни Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? опівдні ET February 27 з опівднем ET March 20, використовуючи хвилинні свічки Binance TECH-LAYOFFS/USDT. Якщо ціна February 27 опівдні вища — "Up"; нижча — "Down"; рівна — ринок вирішується 50-50. Деталі в розділі "Rules".