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Політика·Первинні

TX-30 Republican Primary Winner

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Політика·Первинні

TX-30 Republican Primary Winner

Everett Jackson 83.9%

Sholdon Daniels 15%

Gregor Heise 4.6%

Nils Walker <1%

Polymarket

$22,761 Обс.

Everett Jackson 83.9%

Sholdon Daniels 15%

Gregor Heise 4.6%

Nils Walker <1%

Polymarket

$22,761 Обс.

Everett Jackson

$2,281 Обс.

82%

Sholdon Daniels

$9,204 Обс.

15%

Gregor Heise

$10,117 Обс.

5%

Nils Walker

$1,160 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Everett Jackson's commanding 38% in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 30th Congressional District propelled him into the May 26 runoff against Sholdon Daniels (24%), with Gregor Heise (19%) and Nils Walker (18%) eliminated, driving trader consensus to price Jackson at 82% implied probability of winning the nomination. This heavily Democratic Dallas-area district saw low primary turnout of about 14,000 votes, favoring Jackson's established local support and grassroots momentum amid ongoing campaigning. Daniels trails due to weaker first-round performance despite prior fundraising edge, while eliminated candidates hold slim odds reflecting negligible paths forward. No public polls have emerged since certification, leaving odds shaped by the wisdom of crowds ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$22,761
Дата завершення
May 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Everett Jackson's commanding 38% in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 30th Congressional District propelled him into the May 26 runoff against Sholdon Daniels (24%), with Gregor Heise (19%) and Nils Walker (18%) eliminated, driving trader consensus to price Jackson at 82% implied probability of winning the nomination. This heavily Democratic Dallas-area district saw low primary turnout of about 14,000 votes, favoring Jackson's established local support and grassroots momentum amid ongoing campaigning. Daniels trails due to weaker first-round performance despite prior fundraising edge, while eliminated candidates hold slim odds reflecting negligible paths forward. No public polls have emerged since certification, leaving odds shaped by the wisdom of crowds ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$22,761
Дата завершення
May 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«TX-30 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Everett Jackson» з 82%, далі «Sholdon Daniels» з 14%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «TX-30 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $22.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 18, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «TX-30 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «TX-30 Republican Primary Winner» — «Everett Jackson» з 82%. Наступний — «Sholdon Daniels» з 14%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «TX-30 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.