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Вибори·Первинні

TX-38 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Вибори·Первинні

TX-38 Republican Primary Winner

Jon Bonck 90.5%

Shelly deZevallos 2.2%

Barrett McNabb 1.1%

Jennifer Sundt 1.1%

Polymarket

$36,077 Обс.

Jon Bonck 90.5%

Shelly deZevallos 2.2%

Barrett McNabb 1.1%

Jennifer Sundt 1.1%

Polymarket

$36,077 Обс.

Jon Bonck

$16,939 Обс.

91%

Shelly deZevallos

$3,015 Обс.

2%

Barrett McNabb

$1,588 Обс.

1%

Jennifer Sundt

$2,246 Обс.

1%

Craig Goralski

$1,540 Обс.

1%

Carmen Montiel

$1,468 Обс.

1%

Larry Rubin

$2,055 Обс.

1%

Avery Ayers

$2,210 Обс.

1%

Michael Pratt

$2,603 Обс.

1%

Jeff Yuna

$2,411 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck holds a commanding 90.5% implied probability as the Republican primary winner for Texas's 38th Congressional District, driven by his near-majority 47.7% in the March 3 first-round primary—falling just short of avoiding a runoff—and high-profile endorsements from Donald Trump and groups like Club for Growth. Recent April fundraising reports show Bonck with over $438,000 cash on hand from a $1 million war chest, dwarfing challenger Shelly deZevallos's resources after her distant 18.6% primary finish, fueling trader consensus in this open seat race vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt for Senate. The May 26 runoff looms, where low turnout or a late deZevallos surge via outside spending, scandal, or targeted attacks on Bonck could narrow the gap, though structural advantages favor the frontrunner.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$36,077
Дата завершення
May 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck holds a commanding 90.5% implied probability as the Republican primary winner for Texas's 38th Congressional District, driven by his near-majority 47.7% in the March 3 first-round primary—falling just short of avoiding a runoff—and high-profile endorsements from Donald Trump and groups like Club for Growth. Recent April fundraising reports show Bonck with over $438,000 cash on hand from a $1 million war chest, dwarfing challenger Shelly deZevallos's resources after her distant 18.6% primary finish, fueling trader consensus in this open seat race vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt for Senate. The May 26 runoff looms, where low turnout or a late deZevallos surge via outside spending, scandal, or targeted attacks on Bonck could narrow the gap, though structural advantages favor the frontrunner.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$36,077
Дата завершення
May 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«TX-38 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 10 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Jon Bonck» з 91%, далі «Shelly deZevallos» з 2%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «TX-38 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $36.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 6, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «TX-38 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 10 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «TX-38 Republican Primary Winner» — «Jon Bonck» з 91%. Наступний — «Shelly deZevallos» з 2%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «TX-38 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.