Skip to main content
icon for Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 квітня?
Геополітика·Припинення вогню в Ірані

Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 квітня?

icon for Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 квітня?
Геополітика·Припинення вогню в Ірані

Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 квітня?

Ended: Apr 30

Ended: Apr 30

Так

<1% шанс
Polymarket

$2,509,427 Обс.

Так

<1% шанс
Polymarket

$2,509,427 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The April 30 deadline for a US-Iran nuclear deal expired without agreement, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" as negotiations stalled over Iran's nuclear program limits, ballistic missile curbs, sanctions relief, and the Strait of Hormuz blockade. Iran's April 27 proposal to reopen the strait in exchange for postponing nuclear talks was rebuffed by the Trump administration, which insists on a comprehensive deal first amid ceasefire pressures and escalation risks. Ongoing 2025–2026 diplomacy, initiated post-Trump's letter, hit impasse with no mediators bridging gaps before expiration. Realistic shifts remain improbable absent a late-breaking official announcement, though Polymarket resolution awaits unambiguous confirmation of any deal terms by the cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Обсяг
$2,509,427
Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

Результат запропоновано: Ні

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Ні

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The April 30 deadline for a US-Iran nuclear deal expired without agreement, driving trader consensus to 100% "No" as negotiations stalled over Iran's nuclear program limits, ballistic missile curbs, sanctions relief, and the Strait of Hormuz blockade. Iran's April 27 proposal to reopen the strait in exchange for postponing nuclear talks was rebuffed by the Trump administration, which insists on a comprehensive deal first amid ceasefire pressures and escalation risks. Ongoing 2025–2026 diplomacy, initiated post-Trump's letter, hit impasse with no mediators bridging gaps before expiration. Realistic shifts remain improbable absent a late-breaking official announcement, though Polymarket resolution awaits unambiguous confirmation of any deal terms by the cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Обсяг
$2,509,427
Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

Результат запропоновано: Ні

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Ні

Пов'язане

icon for Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

13%
icon for Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

28%
icon for Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?

9%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 квітня?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 квітня?» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 квітня?» згенерував $2.5 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 9, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 квітня?», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Це відкритий ринок. Поточний лідер для «Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 квітня?» — «Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 квітня?» лише з 0%. Жоден результат не має впевненої більшості — трейдери вважають це дуже невизначеним.

Правила вирішення для «Ядерна угода між США та Іраном до 30 квітня?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.