Anthropic's advanced IPO preparations, including a confidential S-1 filing and targeted November 2026 listing at a potential $2 trillion valuation, drive the 96% market-implied odds that it will go public before OpenAI. The company has reported explosive revenue growth, with its annualized run rate exceeding $100 billion, supported by strong Claude large language model adoption in enterprise settings. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman confirmed in September 2026 that the firm will not pursue an IPO this year, citing priorities around artificial intelligence safety, alignment, and regulatory readiness that favor remaining private into 2027. Traders assign near-certain consensus to Anthropic leading due to these divergent timelines. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include last-minute delays from market volatility, SEC review hurdles, or unexpected shifts in OpenAI's safety-related strategy.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic
96% шанс
$383,682 Обс.
$383,682 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
96% шанс
$383,682 Обс.
$383,682 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's advanced IPO preparations, including a confidential S-1 filing and targeted November 2026 listing at a potential $2 trillion valuation, drive the 96% market-implied odds that it will go public before OpenAI. The company has reported explosive revenue growth, with its annualized run rate exceeding $100 billion, supported by strong Claude large language model adoption in enterprise settings. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman confirmed in September 2026 that the firm will not pursue an IPO this year, citing priorities around artificial intelligence safety, alignment, and regulatory readiness that favor remaining private into 2027. Traders assign near-certain consensus to Anthropic leading due to these divergent timelines. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include last-minute delays from market volatility, SEC review hurdles, or unexpected shifts in OpenAI's safety-related strategy.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Обсяг
$383,682Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2028Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's advanced IPO preparations, including a confidential S-1 filing and targeted November 2026 listing at a potential $2 trillion valuation, drive the 96% market-implied odds that it will go public before OpenAI. The company has reported explosive revenue growth, with its annualized run rate exceeding $100 billion, supported by strong Claude large language model adoption in enterprise settings. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman confirmed in September 2026 that the firm will not pursue an IPO this year, citing priorities around artificial intelligence safety, alignment, and regulatory readiness that favor remaining private into 2027. Traders assign near-certain consensus to Anthropic leading due to these divergent timelines. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include last-minute delays from market volatility, SEC review hurdles, or unexpected shifts in OpenAI's safety-related strategy.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$383,682Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2028Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's advanced IPO preparations, including a confidential S-1 filing and targeted November 2026 listing at a potential $2 trillion valuation, drive the 96% market-implied odds that it will go public before OpenAI. The company has reported explosive revenue growth, with its annualized run rate exceeding $100 billion, supported by strong Claude large language model adoption in enterprise settings. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman confirmed in September 2026 that the firm will not pursue an IPO this year, citing priorities around artificial intelligence safety, alignment, and regulatory readiness that favor remaining private into 2027. Traders assign near-certain consensus to Anthropic leading due to these divergent timelines. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include last-minute delays from market volatility, SEC review hurdles, or unexpected shifts in OpenAI's safety-related strategy.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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