Cardi B and Stefon Diggs’ on-and-off relationship, marked by confirmed public breakups and reconciliation attempts, underpins the market’s 63.1% “No” odds for a 2026 engagement. The pair welcomed a son in November 2025 after going public in 2025, yet reports detail repeated Instagram unfollows, a February 2026 split signal at Cardi’s concert, and her later comments that the dynamic grew “too heated and complicated.” Diggs teased an engagement as “on the agenda” that month, but no confirmed steps followed. By mid-2026, Cardi referenced moving on via lyrics and was spotted with others, including recent dating speculation with Maduka Okoye. With only months left and no verified commitment announcements, trader sentiment reflects the pattern of volatility rather than steady progress toward marriage.