Traders show overwhelming confidence in "Other" at near-certain implied probability because neither ChatGPT nor Vinted has demonstrated the download momentum or marketing push needed to reach third place among free US App Store apps on September 18. Historical ranking patterns favor established categories like social, utility, or gaming apps that maintain steadier user engagement, while OpenAI's chatbot and the Vinted resale platform have shown more variable performance tied to feature updates or seasonal trends. Daily fluctuations could still shift outcomes if a major iOS release, viral campaign, or competitor outage boosts one of the named apps overnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено#3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
#3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
Muse <1%
Vinted <1%
ChatGPT <1%
TikTok Pro - Events <1%
$16,361 Обс.
$16,361 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
Muse
No
Vinted
No
ChatGPT
No
TikTok Pro - Events
No
Google Gemini
No
Google Maps
No
Polymarket
No
Muse <1%
Vinted <1%
ChatGPT <1%
TikTok Pro - Events <1%
$16,361 Обс.
$16,361 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
Muse
$1,904 Обс.
No
Vinted
$6,851 Обс.
No
ChatGPT
$1,969 Обс.
No
TikTok Pro - Events
$1,906 Обс.
No
Google Gemini
$2,638 Обс.
No
Google Maps
$461 Обс.
No
Polymarket
$631 Обс.
No
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #3 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Traders show overwhelming confidence in "Other" at near-certain implied probability because neither ChatGPT nor Vinted has demonstrated the download momentum or marketing push needed to reach third place among free US App Store apps on September 18. Historical ranking patterns favor established categories like social, utility, or gaming apps that maintain steadier user engagement, while OpenAI's chatbot and the Vinted resale platform have shown more variable performance tied to feature updates or seasonal trends. Daily fluctuations could still shift outcomes if a major iOS release, viral campaign, or competitor outage boosts one of the named apps overnight.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #3 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 11:44 PM ET
Обсяг
$16,361Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 11:44 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #3 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Traders show overwhelming confidence in "Other" at near-certain implied probability because neither ChatGPT nor Vinted has demonstrated the download momentum or marketing push needed to reach third place among free US App Store apps on September 18. Historical ranking patterns favor established categories like social, utility, or gaming apps that maintain steadier user engagement, while OpenAI's chatbot and the Vinted resale platform have shown more variable performance tied to feature updates or seasonal trends. Daily fluctuations could still shift outcomes if a major iOS release, viral campaign, or competitor outage boosts one of the named apps overnight.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #3 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Обсяг
$16,361Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 11:44 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Traders show overwhelming confidence in "Other" at near-certain implied probability because neither ChatGPT nor Vinted has demonstrated the download momentum or marketing push needed to reach third place among free US App Store apps on September 18. Historical ranking patterns favor established categories like social, utility, or gaming apps that maintain steadier user engagement, while OpenAI's chatbot and the Vinted resale platform have shown more variable performance tied to feature updates or seasonal trends. Daily fluctuations could still shift outcomes if a major iOS release, viral campaign, or competitor outage boosts one of the named apps overnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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