Google’s ongoing delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after an I/O teaser and later pushed into July or beyond—remain the central driver behind the dispersed October odds. The model continues internal and partner testing to meet performance targets in coding, long-horizon tasks, and agentic workflows, while Google ships frequent lighter variants such as 3.8 Flash and Live models in September. Traders weigh Google’s history of conservative flagship pacing, the start of Gemini 4 pre-training, and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic against the possibility of a late-month release once benchmarks stabilize. No firm public timeline has emerged, leaving resolution sensitive to any API changelog or developer-conference update.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNext Gemini Pro Model released on...?
October 16 49%
October 19 49%
October 18 26%
October 20 25%
On or prior to October 1
14%
October 2
1%
October 3
5%
October 4
5%
October 5
1%
October 6
11%
October 7
14%
October 8
13%
October 9
1%
October 10
12%
October 11
8%
October 12
24%
October 13
15%
October 14
13%
October 15
13%
October 16
49%
October 17
13%
October 18
26%
October 19
49%
October 20
25%
October 21
8%
October 22
7%
October 23
13%
October 24
25%
October 25
8%
October 26
9%
October 27
1%
October 28
14%
October 29
13%
October 30
14%
October 31
9%
No release by October 31
16%
October 16 49%
October 19 49%
October 18 26%
October 20 25%
On or prior to October 1
14%
October 2
1%
October 3
5%
October 4
5%
October 5
1%
October 6
11%
October 7
14%
October 8
13%
October 9
1%
October 10
12%
October 11
8%
October 12
24%
October 13
15%
October 14
13%
October 15
13%
October 16
49%
October 17
13%
October 18
26%
October 19
49%
October 20
25%
October 21
8%
October 22
7%
October 23
13%
October 24
25%
October 25
8%
October 26
9%
October 27
1%
October 28
14%
October 29
13%
October 30
14%
October 31
9%
No release by October 31
16%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Google’s ongoing delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after an I/O teaser and later pushed into July or beyond—remain the central driver behind the dispersed October odds. The model continues internal and partner testing to meet performance targets in coding, long-horizon tasks, and agentic workflows, while Google ships frequent lighter variants such as 3.8 Flash and Live models in September. Traders weigh Google’s history of conservative flagship pacing, the start of Gemini 4 pre-training, and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic against the possibility of a late-month release once benchmarks stabilize. No firm public timeline has emerged, leaving resolution sensitive to any API changelog or developer-conference update.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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