Bipartisan negotiations on frontier AI safety legislation continue in the Senate Commerce Committee and House, with drafts addressing duties of care for catastrophic risks, independent audits, incident reporting, and potential preemption of some state rules. Recent committee advances on related measures have stalled short of floor consideration, however, amid partisan divides over liability standards, limited session time before the November midterms, and House adjournment until after the elections. President Trump has publicly opposed new AI regulation, while tech industry lobbying and internal disagreements over enforcement mechanisms further complicate consensus. Lawmakers across both chambers have noted insufficient time and alignment for enactment by year-end, leaving primary oversight to executive actions and state-level efforts in the interim.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
11% шанс
$130,561 Обс.
$130,561 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
11% шанс
$130,561 Обс.
$130,561 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Bipartisan negotiations on frontier AI safety legislation continue in the Senate Commerce Committee and House, with drafts addressing duties of care for catastrophic risks, independent audits, incident reporting, and potential preemption of some state rules. Recent committee advances on related measures have stalled short of floor consideration, however, amid partisan divides over liability standards, limited session time before the November midterms, and House adjournment until after the elections. President Trump has publicly opposed new AI regulation, while tech industry lobbying and internal disagreements over enforcement mechanisms further complicate consensus. Lawmakers across both chambers have noted insufficient time and alignment for enactment by year-end, leaving primary oversight to executive actions and state-level efforts in the interim.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Обсяг
$130,561Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Bipartisan negotiations on frontier AI safety legislation continue in the Senate Commerce Committee and House, with drafts addressing duties of care for catastrophic risks, independent audits, incident reporting, and potential preemption of some state rules. Recent committee advances on related measures have stalled short of floor consideration, however, amid partisan divides over liability standards, limited session time before the November midterms, and House adjournment until after the elections. President Trump has publicly opposed new AI regulation, while tech industry lobbying and internal disagreements over enforcement mechanisms further complicate consensus. Lawmakers across both chambers have noted insufficient time and alignment for enactment by year-end, leaving primary oversight to executive actions and state-level efforts in the interim.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$130,561Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Bipartisan negotiations on frontier AI safety legislation continue in the Senate Commerce Committee and House, with drafts addressing duties of care for catastrophic risks, independent audits, incident reporting, and potential preemption of some state rules. Recent committee advances on related measures have stalled short of floor consideration, however, amid partisan divides over liability standards, limited session time before the November midterms, and House adjournment until after the elections. President Trump has publicly opposed new AI regulation, while tech industry lobbying and internal disagreements over enforcement mechanisms further complicate consensus. Lawmakers across both chambers have noted insufficient time and alignment for enactment by year-end, leaving primary oversight to executive actions and state-level efforts in the interim.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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