Denmark and Greenland have consistently rejected any transfer of sovereignty, with Danish leaders emphasizing that the island's status remains non-negotiable despite U.S. pressure for expanded military basing and mineral access rights. Negotiations since early 2026 produced framework agreements on Arctic security and U.S. operational presence but stopped short of ownership changes, as Greenlandic officials and Danish officials prioritized autonomy and NATO cohesion. Other priorities, including regional conflicts, have further sidelined the issue. Trader consensus at 96.7% for no acquisition before 2027 reflects these structural barriers. A breakthrough could still emerge from intensified Arctic competition with other powers or unexpected shifts in Danish or Greenlandic domestic politics before the deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоТак
3% шанс
$35,427,772 Обс.
$35,427,772 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Так
3% шанс
$35,427,772 Обс.
$35,427,772 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Denmark and Greenland have consistently rejected any transfer of sovereignty, with Danish leaders emphasizing that the island's status remains non-negotiable despite U.S. pressure for expanded military basing and mineral access rights. Negotiations since early 2026 produced framework agreements on Arctic security and U.S. operational presence but stopped short of ownership changes, as Greenlandic officials and Danish officials prioritized autonomy and NATO cohesion. Other priorities, including regional conflicts, have further sidelined the issue. Trader consensus at 96.7% for no acquisition before 2027 reflects these structural barriers. A breakthrough could still emerge from intensified Arctic competition with other powers or unexpected shifts in Danish or Greenlandic domestic politics before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$35,427,772Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Denmark and Greenland have consistently rejected any transfer of sovereignty, with Danish leaders emphasizing that the island's status remains non-negotiable despite U.S. pressure for expanded military basing and mineral access rights. Negotiations since early 2026 produced framework agreements on Arctic security and U.S. operational presence but stopped short of ownership changes, as Greenlandic officials and Danish officials prioritized autonomy and NATO cohesion. Other priorities, including regional conflicts, have further sidelined the issue. Trader consensus at 96.7% for no acquisition before 2027 reflects these structural barriers. A breakthrough could still emerge from intensified Arctic competition with other powers or unexpected shifts in Danish or Greenlandic domestic politics before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Обсяг
$35,427,772Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Denmark and Greenland have consistently rejected any transfer of sovereignty, with Danish leaders emphasizing that the island's status remains non-negotiable despite U.S. pressure for expanded military basing and mineral access rights. Negotiations since early 2026 produced framework agreements on Arctic security and U.S. operational presence but stopped short of ownership changes, as Greenlandic officials and Danish officials prioritized autonomy and NATO cohesion. Other priorities, including regional conflicts, have further sidelined the issue. Trader consensus at 96.7% for no acquisition before 2027 reflects these structural barriers. A breakthrough could still emerge from intensified Arctic competition with other powers or unexpected shifts in Danish or Greenlandic domestic politics before the deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання