**UAE officials explicitly ruled out exiting the GCC following the country’s April 2026 withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+, stating they were reassessing multilateral roles but not planning further departures.** This direct clarification came amid speculation triggered by the OPEC move and ongoing Saudi-Emirati divergences over Yemen, Sudan, and responses to the Iran conflict that began in February 2026. GCC members continued coordinated statements and summits, including emergency sessions addressing regional security, with no formal UAE withdrawal notices or procedural steps taken by mid-2026. Persistent bilateral tensions and differing policy preferences have not produced the institutional rupture or public declarations needed to shift exit probabilities. Traders therefore assign the “No” outcome a 93% implied probability, reflecting the absence of confirmed intent or actions that would meet the market’s resolution criteria before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
$100,301 Обс.
$100,301 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$100,301 Обс.
$100,301 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**UAE officials explicitly ruled out exiting the GCC following the country’s April 2026 withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+, stating they were reassessing multilateral roles but not planning further departures.** This direct clarification came amid speculation triggered by the OPEC move and ongoing Saudi-Emirati divergences over Yemen, Sudan, and responses to the Iran conflict that began in February 2026. GCC members continued coordinated statements and summits, including emergency sessions addressing regional security, with no formal UAE withdrawal notices or procedural steps taken by mid-2026. Persistent bilateral tensions and differing policy preferences have not produced the institutional rupture or public declarations needed to shift exit probabilities. Traders therefore assign the “No” outcome a 93% implied probability, reflecting the absence of confirmed intent or actions that would meet the market’s resolution criteria before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$100,301Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**UAE officials explicitly ruled out exiting the GCC following the country’s April 2026 withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+, stating they were reassessing multilateral roles but not planning further departures.** This direct clarification came amid speculation triggered by the OPEC move and ongoing Saudi-Emirati divergences over Yemen, Sudan, and responses to the Iran conflict that began in February 2026. GCC members continued coordinated statements and summits, including emergency sessions addressing regional security, with no formal UAE withdrawal notices or procedural steps taken by mid-2026. Persistent bilateral tensions and differing policy preferences have not produced the institutional rupture or public declarations needed to shift exit probabilities. Traders therefore assign the “No” outcome a 93% implied probability, reflecting the absence of confirmed intent or actions that would meet the market’s resolution criteria before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$100,301Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**UAE officials explicitly ruled out exiting the GCC following the country’s April 2026 withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+, stating they were reassessing multilateral roles but not planning further departures.** This direct clarification came amid speculation triggered by the OPEC move and ongoing Saudi-Emirati divergences over Yemen, Sudan, and responses to the Iran conflict that began in February 2026. GCC members continued coordinated statements and summits, including emergency sessions addressing regional security, with no formal UAE withdrawal notices or procedural steps taken by mid-2026. Persistent bilateral tensions and differing policy preferences have not produced the institutional rupture or public declarations needed to shift exit probabilities. Traders therefore assign the “No” outcome a 93% implied probability, reflecting the absence of confirmed intent or actions that would meet the market’s resolution criteria before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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