Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability for Anthropic surpassing OpenAI's valuation in 2026, driven primarily by Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate exploding to over $30 billion by late March—eclipsing OpenAI's $25 billion—fueled by surging enterprise demand for Claude models and coding agents. This momentum secured VC offers valuing Anthropic above $800 billion last week, more than doubling its official $380 billion post-money from February's $30 billion Series G round led by GIC and Coatue, while OpenAI holds at $852 billion post its $122 billion March raise amid investor doubts over projected $14 billion 2026 losses and strategic pivots. Key catalysts include potential secondary tender offers, IPO timelines by year-end, and Anthropic's lower cash burn through 2030, signaling a narrowing valuation multiple gap as fundamentals shift.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability for Anthropic surpassing OpenAI's valuation in 2026, driven primarily by Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate exploding to over $30 billion by late March—eclipsing OpenAI's $25 billion—fueled by surging enterprise demand for Claude models and coding agents. This momentum secured VC offers valuing Anthropic above $800 billion last week, more than doubling its official $380 billion post-money from February's $30 billion Series G round led by GIC and Coatue, while OpenAI holds at $852 billion post its $122 billion March raise amid investor doubts over projected $14 billion 2026 losses and strategic pivots. Key catalysts include potential secondary tender offers, IPO timelines by year-end, and Anthropic's lower cash burn through 2030, signaling a narrowing valuation multiple gap as fundamentals shift.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,819Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability for Anthropic surpassing OpenAI's valuation in 2026, driven primarily by Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate exploding to over $30 billion by late March—eclipsing OpenAI's $25 billion—fueled by surging enterprise demand for Claude models and coding agents. This momentum secured VC offers valuing Anthropic above $800 billion last week, more than doubling its official $380 billion post-money from February's $30 billion Series G round led by GIC and Coatue, while OpenAI holds at $852 billion post its $122 billion March raise amid investor doubts over projected $14 billion 2026 losses and strategic pivots. Key catalysts include potential secondary tender offers, IPO timelines by year-end, and Anthropic's lower cash burn through 2030, signaling a narrowing valuation multiple gap as fundamentals shift.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$2,819Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability for Anthropic surpassing OpenAI's valuation in 2026, driven primarily by Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate exploding to over $30 billion by late March—eclipsing OpenAI's $25 billion—fueled by surging enterprise demand for Claude models and coding agents. This momentum secured VC offers valuing Anthropic above $800 billion last week, more than doubling its official $380 billion post-money from February's $30 billion Series G round led by GIC and Coatue, while OpenAI holds at $852 billion post its $122 billion March raise amid investor doubts over projected $14 billion 2026 losses and strategic pivots. Key catalysts include potential secondary tender offers, IPO timelines by year-end, and Anthropic's lower cash burn through 2030, signaling a narrowing valuation multiple gap as fundamentals shift.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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