The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil, reflecting a rematch shaped by shifting national alignments after União's break with the Lula administration and Neto's move toward right-wing positioning. Recent campaign launches in mid-August and the first televised debate on August 9 have kept both candidates' support levels close, with polling showing technical ties or narrow leads amid high undecided shares. Incumbency advantages, including access to state resources and established municipal networks, help sustain Rodrigues's edge in trader pricing, while Neto's stronger name recognition in urban centers and among certain conservative-leaning voters prevents a wider gap. Upcoming debates, regional endorsements, and turnout dynamics in key municipalities could shift momentum before the October first round.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJerônimo Rodrigues 52%
ACM Neto 46%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$117,048 KL.
$117,048 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
52%
ACM Neto
46%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 52%
ACM Neto 46%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$117,048 KL.
$117,048 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$36,861 KL.
52%
ACM Neto
$40,237 KL.
46%
Kleber Rosa
$12,792 KL.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$10,899 KL.
<1%
João Roma
$5,186 KL.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 KL.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 KL.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil, reflecting a rematch shaped by shifting national alignments after União's break with the Lula administration and Neto's move toward right-wing positioning. Recent campaign launches in mid-August and the first televised debate on August 9 have kept both candidates' support levels close, with polling showing technical ties or narrow leads amid high undecided shares. Incumbency advantages, including access to state resources and established municipal networks, help sustain Rodrigues's edge in trader pricing, while Neto's stronger name recognition in urban centers and among certain conservative-leaning voters prevents a wider gap. Upcoming debates, regional endorsements, and turnout dynamics in key municipalities could shift momentum before the October first round.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$117,048Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil, reflecting a rematch shaped by shifting national alignments after União's break with the Lula administration and Neto's move toward right-wing positioning. Recent campaign launches in mid-August and the first televised debate on August 9 have kept both candidates' support levels close, with polling showing technical ties or narrow leads amid high undecided shares. Incumbency advantages, including access to state resources and established municipal networks, help sustain Rodrigues's edge in trader pricing, while Neto's stronger name recognition in urban centers and among certain conservative-leaning voters prevents a wider gap. Upcoming debates, regional endorsements, and turnout dynamics in key municipalities could shift momentum before the October first round.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$117,048Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil, reflecting a rematch shaped by shifting national alignments after União's break with the Lula administration and Neto's move toward right-wing positioning. Recent campaign launches in mid-August and the first televised debate on August 9 have kept both candidates' support levels close, with polling showing technical ties or narrow leads amid high undecided shares. Incumbency advantages, including access to state resources and established municipal networks, help sustain Rodrigues's edge in trader pricing, while Neto's stronger name recognition in urban centers and among certain conservative-leaning voters prevents a wider gap. Upcoming debates, regional endorsements, and turnout dynamics in key municipalities could shift momentum before the October first round.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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