Geopolitical supply disruptions from Middle East tensions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 2026, sustaining elevated crude prices near $90 per barrel as of early June. This supply shock underpins the 68.5% implied probability for settlement above $84, reflecting trader consensus on persistent risk premiums despite recent easing from April peaks near $138. Official forecasts from the EIA project Brent averages around $106 in May and June before gradual moderation, while OPEC+ restraint and potential diplomatic developments on Iran add uncertainty to the near-term path. Weekly EIA inventory data and the upcoming OPEC+ meeting remain key catalysts that could influence final June settlement levels.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
>$84 69%
$77-$84 16%
$70-$77 7.5%
$63-$70 2.1%
$220,151 KL.
$220,151 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
2%
$70-$77
8%
$77-$84
16%
>$84
69%
>$84 69%
$77-$84 16%
$70-$77 7.5%
$63-$70 2.1%
$220,151 KL.
$220,151 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
$22,077 KL.
<1%
$42-$49
$10,657 KL.
1%
$49-$56
$12,691 KL.
1%
$56-$63
$14,957 KL.
1%
$63-$70
$28,317 KL.
2%
$70-$77
$18,852 KL.
8%
$77-$84
$19,570 KL.
16%
>$84
$93,030 KL.
69%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from Middle East tensions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 2026, sustaining elevated crude prices near $90 per barrel as of early June. This supply shock underpins the 68.5% implied probability for settlement above $84, reflecting trader consensus on persistent risk premiums despite recent easing from April peaks near $138. Official forecasts from the EIA project Brent averages around $106 in May and June before gradual moderation, while OPEC+ restraint and potential diplomatic developments on Iran add uncertainty to the near-term path. Weekly EIA inventory data and the upcoming OPEC+ meeting remain key catalysts that could influence final June settlement levels.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Thị trường mở: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$220,151Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from Middle East tensions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 2026, sustaining elevated crude prices near $90 per barrel as of early June. This supply shock underpins the 68.5% implied probability for settlement above $84, reflecting trader consensus on persistent risk premiums despite recent easing from April peaks near $138. Official forecasts from the EIA project Brent averages around $106 in May and June before gradual moderation, while OPEC+ restraint and potential diplomatic developments on Iran add uncertainty to the near-term path. Weekly EIA inventory data and the upcoming OPEC+ meeting remain key catalysts that could influence final June settlement levels.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Khối lượng
$220,151Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETGeopolitical supply disruptions from Middle East tensions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 2026, sustaining elevated crude prices near $90 per barrel as of early June. This supply shock underpins the 68.5% implied probability for settlement above $84, reflecting trader consensus on persistent risk premiums despite recent easing from April peaks near $138. Official forecasts from the EIA project Brent averages around $106 in May and June before gradual moderation, while OPEC+ restraint and potential diplomatic developments on Iran add uncertainty to the near-term path. Weekly EIA inventory data and the upcoming OPEC+ meeting remain key catalysts that could influence final June settlement levels.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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