xAI continues its aggressive release cadence following the May 5 launch of Grok 4.3, the current public 0.5-trillion-parameter model that leads benchmarks in tool calling, instruction following, and enterprise domains with a 1-million-token context window. Elon Musk stated on May 17 that the 1.5-trillion-parameter V9 model has completed training and requires roughly three to four weeks of supplemental work before release, positioning a potential Grok 4.4 or 4.5 variant for mid-June. This aligns with xAI’s broader roadmap of simultaneous training runs on Colossus 2 hardware and rapid iteration toward larger-scale models, though earlier 1-trillion-parameter timelines for 4.4 have slipped amid ongoing optimization. Traders are watching for official API or platform announcements that would confirm the next major version.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
Jun 30, 2026
May 31
44%
June 15
50%
June 30
53%
$20 KL.
May 31
$20 KL.
44%
June 15
$0 KL.
50%
June 30
$0 KL.
53%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.xAI continues its aggressive release cadence following the May 5 launch of Grok 4.3, the current public 0.5-trillion-parameter model that leads benchmarks in tool calling, instruction following, and enterprise domains with a 1-million-token context window. Elon Musk stated on May 17 that the 1.5-trillion-parameter V9 model has completed training and requires roughly three to four weeks of supplemental work before release, positioning a potential Grok 4.4 or 4.5 variant for mid-June. This aligns with xAI’s broader roadmap of simultaneous training runs on Colossus 2 hardware and rapid iteration toward larger-scale models, though earlier 1-trillion-parameter timelines for 4.4 have slipped amid ongoing optimization. Traders are watching for official API or platform announcements that would confirm the next major version.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
Khối lượng
$20Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.xAI continues its aggressive release cadence following the May 5 launch of Grok 4.3, the current public 0.5-trillion-parameter model that leads benchmarks in tool calling, instruction following, and enterprise domains with a 1-million-token context window. Elon Musk stated on May 17 that the 1.5-trillion-parameter V9 model has completed training and requires roughly three to four weeks of supplemental work before release, positioning a potential Grok 4.4 or 4.5 variant for mid-June. This aligns with xAI’s broader roadmap of simultaneous training runs on Colossus 2 hardware and rapid iteration toward larger-scale models, though earlier 1-trillion-parameter timelines for 4.4 have slipped amid ongoing optimization. Traders are watching for official API or platform announcements that would confirm the next major version.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$20Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI continues its aggressive release cadence following the May 5 launch of Grok 4.3, the current public 0.5-trillion-parameter model that leads benchmarks in tool calling, instruction following, and enterprise domains with a 1-million-token context window. Elon Musk stated on May 17 that the 1.5-trillion-parameter V9 model has completed training and requires roughly three to four weeks of supplemental work before release, positioning a potential Grok 4.4 or 4.5 variant for mid-June. This aligns with xAI’s broader roadmap of simultaneous training runs on Colossus 2 hardware and rapid iteration toward larger-scale models, though earlier 1-trillion-parameter timelines for 4.4 have slipped amid ongoing optimization. Traders are watching for official API or platform announcements that would confirm the next major version.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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