Numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside guidance from Turkey’s State Meteorological Service, have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C for Ankara on June 2 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for early June in the region, underpins the market’s near-certain implied probability on that exact outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from last-minute forecast revisions, localized urban heat island effects at official measurement sites, or unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, though current ensemble spreads show minimal deviation around the 25°C threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on June 2?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$58,312 KL.
$58,312 KL.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$58,312 KL.
$58,312 KL.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside guidance from Turkey’s State Meteorological Service, have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C for Ankara on June 2 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for early June in the region, underpins the market’s near-certain implied probability on that exact outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from last-minute forecast revisions, localized urban heat island effects at official measurement sites, or unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, though current ensemble spreads show minimal deviation around the 25°C threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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