Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm midday temperatures peaked at 24°C today, driving Polymarket traders to 100% consensus on this outcome as the daily high. Hourly data shows a subsequent cooling trend under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting no exceedance amid reduced insolation late in the day. May climatology averages 22°C highs in Ankara, with today's slight elevation tied to a lingering high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include rare afternoon clearing boosting solar heating, but model uncertainty bands place this below 1% likelihood; final MGM airport readings by midnight will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on May 12?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 12?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$108,466 KL.
$108,466 KL.
May 12, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$108,466 KL.
$108,466 KL.
May 12, 2026
18°C or below
$6,647 KL.
No
19°C
$2,309 KL.
No
20°C
$6,249 KL.
No
21°C
$6,772 KL.
No
22°C
$8,641 KL.
No
23°C
$7,433 KL.
No
24°C
$23,072 KL.
Yes
25°C
$19,283 KL.
No
26°C
$12,333 KL.
No
27°C
$8,243 KL.
No
28°C or higher
$7,484 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm midday temperatures peaked at 24°C today, driving Polymarket traders to 100% consensus on this outcome as the daily high. Hourly data shows a subsequent cooling trend under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting no exceedance amid reduced insolation late in the day. May climatology averages 22°C highs in Ankara, with today's slight elevation tied to a lingering high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include rare afternoon clearing boosting solar heating, but model uncertainty bands place this below 1% likelihood; final MGM airport readings by midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$108,466Ngày kết thúc
May 12, 2026Thị trường mở
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm midday temperatures peaked at 24°C today, driving Polymarket traders to 100% consensus on this outcome as the daily high. Hourly data shows a subsequent cooling trend under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting no exceedance amid reduced insolation late in the day. May climatology averages 22°C highs in Ankara, with today's slight elevation tied to a lingering high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include rare afternoon clearing boosting solar heating, but model uncertainty bands place this below 1% likelihood; final MGM airport readings by midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$108,466Ngày kết thúc
May 12, 2026Thị trường mở
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm midday temperatures peaked at 24°C today, driving Polymarket traders to 100% consensus on this outcome as the daily high. Hourly data shows a subsequent cooling trend under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting no exceedance amid reduced insolation late in the day. May climatology averages 22°C highs in Ankara, with today's slight elevation tied to a lingering high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include rare afternoon clearing boosting solar heating, but model uncertainty bands place this below 1% likelihood; final MGM airport readings by midnight will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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