Official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 78°F around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 81°F or below. This outcome stems from a cold front passage overnight following severe storms on May 5, which brought cooler mid-level air, persistent partly cloudy skies, and light southwest winds around 5 mph that limited surface heating—well below the May climatological average high of 84°F. Model consensus from prior days, including NOAA guidance, accurately forecasted this moderation with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include rare final data revisions from quality control or minor discrepancies with Camp Mabry readings, though KAUS ASOS data serves as the authoritative resolution source; expect the official daily climatological report within 24 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on May 6?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 6?
81°F or below 100.0%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$89,039 KL.
$89,039 KL.
May 6, 2026
81°F or below
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
81°F or below 100.0%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$89,039 KL.
$89,039 KL.
May 6, 2026
81°F or below
$15,505 KL.
Yes
82-83°F
$8,186 KL.
No
84-85°F
$10,440 KL.
No
86-87°F
$9,675 KL.
No
88-89°F
$9,573 KL.
No
90-91°F
$8,902 KL.
No
92-93°F
$6,078 KL.
No
94-95°F
$6,863 KL.
No
96-97°F
$6,561 KL.
No
98-99°F
$5,548 KL.
No
100°F or higher
$1,708 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 78°F around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 81°F or below. This outcome stems from a cold front passage overnight following severe storms on May 5, which brought cooler mid-level air, persistent partly cloudy skies, and light southwest winds around 5 mph that limited surface heating—well below the May climatological average high of 84°F. Model consensus from prior days, including NOAA guidance, accurately forecasted this moderation with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include rare final data revisions from quality control or minor discrepancies with Camp Mabry readings, though KAUS ASOS data serves as the authoritative resolution source; expect the official daily climatological report within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 4, 2026, 1:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$89,039Ngày kết thúc
May 6, 2026Thị trường mở
May 4, 2026, 1:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 78°F around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 81°F or below. This outcome stems from a cold front passage overnight following severe storms on May 5, which brought cooler mid-level air, persistent partly cloudy skies, and light southwest winds around 5 mph that limited surface heating—well below the May climatological average high of 84°F. Model consensus from prior days, including NOAA guidance, accurately forecasted this moderation with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include rare final data revisions from quality control or minor discrepancies with Camp Mabry readings, though KAUS ASOS data serves as the authoritative resolution source; expect the official daily climatological report within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$89,039Ngày kết thúc
May 6, 2026Thị trường mở
May 4, 2026, 1:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
Official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 78°F around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 81°F or below. This outcome stems from a cold front passage overnight following severe storms on May 5, which brought cooler mid-level air, persistent partly cloudy skies, and light southwest winds around 5 mph that limited surface heating—well below the May climatological average high of 84°F. Model consensus from prior days, including NOAA guidance, accurately forecasted this moderation with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include rare final data revisions from quality control or minor discrepancies with Camp Mabry readings, though KAUS ASOS data serves as the authoritative resolution source; expect the official daily climatological report within 24 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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