Recent model guidance and climatological baselines drive the tight clustering around 32–34°C for Beijing’s July 2 maximum, with traders weighting ensemble forecasts that place daytime highs near 31–33°C amid typical early-July monsoon moisture. Beijing’s urban heat island and seasonal solar insolation support these values, while scattered thunderstorms—already observed in late June—could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, differentiating the 32°C versus 34°C outcomes. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convection, directly influencing resolution probabilities in this narrow range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on July 2?
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 2?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$87,910 KL.
$87,910 KL.
Jul 2, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$87,910 KL.
$87,910 KL.
Jul 2, 2026
28°C or below
$5,390 KL.
No
29°C
$3,359 KL.
No
30°C
$4,380 KL.
No
31°C
$5,859 KL.
No
32°C
$6,645 KL.
No
33°C
$21,510 KL.
No
34°C
$11,935 KL.
Yes
35°C
$11,199 KL.
No
36°C
$7,002 KL.
No
37°C
$5,312 KL.
No
38°C or higher
$5,319 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and climatological baselines drive the tight clustering around 32–34°C for Beijing’s July 2 maximum, with traders weighting ensemble forecasts that place daytime highs near 31–33°C amid typical early-July monsoon moisture. Beijing’s urban heat island and seasonal solar insolation support these values, while scattered thunderstorms—already observed in late June—could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, differentiating the 32°C versus 34°C outcomes. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convection, directly influencing resolution probabilities in this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$87,910Ngày kết thúc
Jul 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and climatological baselines drive the tight clustering around 32–34°C for Beijing’s July 2 maximum, with traders weighting ensemble forecasts that place daytime highs near 31–33°C amid typical early-July monsoon moisture. Beijing’s urban heat island and seasonal solar insolation support these values, while scattered thunderstorms—already observed in late June—could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, differentiating the 32°C versus 34°C outcomes. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convection, directly influencing resolution probabilities in this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$87,910Ngày kết thúc
Jul 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent model guidance and climatological baselines drive the tight clustering around 32–34°C for Beijing’s July 2 maximum, with traders weighting ensemble forecasts that place daytime highs near 31–33°C amid typical early-July monsoon moisture. Beijing’s urban heat island and seasonal solar insolation support these values, while scattered thunderstorms—already observed in late June—could limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, differentiating the 32°C versus 34°C outcomes. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and short-range model runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convection, directly influencing resolution probabilities in this narrow range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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