Recent short-range forecast models from European and American centers indicate Moscow will likely experience a cooler air mass on July 8, 2026, with daytime highs constrained by increased cloud cover, showers, and possible thundery activity that limit solar heating. This setup favors peak temperatures clustered around 20–22 °C—slightly below the month’s climatological average of roughly 23–24 °C—explaining why those three outcomes dominate market-implied odds. Key differentiating variables include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus any brief clearing that would allow stronger surface warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on July 8?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 8?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$90,017 KL.
$90,017 KL.
Jul 8, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$90,017 KL.
$90,017 KL.
Jul 8, 2026
16°C or below
$4,110 KL.
No
17°C
$4,014 KL.
No
18°C
$4,468 KL.
No
19°C
$5,692 KL.
No
20°C
$12,425 KL.
No
21°C
$22,637 KL.
No
22°C
$16,274 KL.
Yes
23°C
$11,037 KL.
No
24°C
$2,906 KL.
No
25°C
$3,945 KL.
No
26°C or higher
$2,508 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from European and American centers indicate Moscow will likely experience a cooler air mass on July 8, 2026, with daytime highs constrained by increased cloud cover, showers, and possible thundery activity that limit solar heating. This setup favors peak temperatures clustered around 20–22 °C—slightly below the month’s climatological average of roughly 23–24 °C—explaining why those three outcomes dominate market-implied odds. Key differentiating variables include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus any brief clearing that would allow stronger surface warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$90,017Ngày kết thúc
Jul 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from European and American centers indicate Moscow will likely experience a cooler air mass on July 8, 2026, with daytime highs constrained by increased cloud cover, showers, and possible thundery activity that limit solar heating. This setup favors peak temperatures clustered around 20–22 °C—slightly below the month’s climatological average of roughly 23–24 °C—explaining why those three outcomes dominate market-implied odds. Key differentiating variables include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus any brief clearing that would allow stronger surface warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$90,017Ngày kết thúc
Jul 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent short-range forecast models from European and American centers indicate Moscow will likely experience a cooler air mass on July 8, 2026, with daytime highs constrained by increased cloud cover, showers, and possible thundery activity that limit solar heating. This setup favors peak temperatures clustered around 20–22 °C—slightly below the month’s climatological average of roughly 23–24 °C—explaining why those three outcomes dominate market-implied odds. Key differentiating variables include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus any brief clearing that would allow stronger surface warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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