Current forecast models for Tel Aviv on July 31, 2026, center on a maximum temperature of 32–34°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions, and moderating sea breezes from the eastern Mediterranean that limit extreme heat. Ensemble guidance from sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate.com, and BBC Weather shows highs near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F) under mostly sunny skies, aligning with the city’s July climatological average but with modest upside potential from warmer model runs. This consensus underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 34°C (61.5% implied probability), followed by 33°C (21%) and 35°C (16%), while lower or higher extremes remain discounted absent any developing heat wave or significant model shift. Updated runs closer to the date will refine the exact peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 31?
34°C 62%
33°C 17%
35°C 16%
36°C 5%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C
17%
34°C
62%
35°C
16%
36°C
5%
37°C
4%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
4%
34°C 62%
33°C 17%
35°C 16%
36°C 5%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C
17%
34°C
62%
35°C
16%
36°C
5%
37°C
4%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Tel Aviv on July 31, 2026, center on a maximum temperature of 32–34°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions, and moderating sea breezes from the eastern Mediterranean that limit extreme heat. Ensemble guidance from sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate.com, and BBC Weather shows highs near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F) under mostly sunny skies, aligning with the city’s July climatological average but with modest upside potential from warmer model runs. This consensus underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 34°C (61.5% implied probability), followed by 33°C (21%) and 35°C (16%), while lower or higher extremes remain discounted absent any developing heat wave or significant model shift. Updated runs closer to the date will refine the exact peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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