Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and Beijing Meteorological Observatory confirm Beijing's highest temperature at Capital International Airport peaked at 26°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies, hazy sunshine, and light northerly-to-southerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA issued early that morning projected this exact high, aligning with May climatological averages of 25–26°C daytime maxima amid stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon convective heating or wind shifts boosting peaks to 27°C+, but midday readings already capped near 26°C, with final daily reports expected post-midnight UTC minimizing revision risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on May 4?
26°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$89,519 KL.
$89,519 KL.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$89,519 KL.
$89,519 KL.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 2, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and Beijing Meteorological Observatory confirm Beijing's highest temperature at Capital International Airport peaked at 26°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies, hazy sunshine, and light northerly-to-southerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA issued early that morning projected this exact high, aligning with May climatological averages of 25–26°C daytime maxima amid stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon convective heating or wind shifts boosting peaks to 27°C+, but midday readings already capped near 26°C, with final daily reports expected post-midnight UTC minimizing revision risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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