Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, which projects a daytime peak of 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Current observations from KMA stations confirm morning temperatures climbing steadily toward this cap, consistent with regional ensemble model runs showing minimal convective activity and no heat advection from inland areas—aligning with May climatology where Busan averages highs of 22–24°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar insolation from unexpected clearing skies or microscale urban heating effects, potentially nudging readings to 25°C; KMA's evening update will provide final observational data for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Busan on May 11?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 11?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$40,620 KL.
$40,620 KL.
May 11, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$40,620 KL.
$40,620 KL.
May 11, 2026
16°C or below
$1,114 KL.
No
17°C
$659 KL.
No
18°C
$1,932 KL.
No
19°C
$8,055 KL.
No
20°C
$3,168 KL.
No
21°C
$2,443 KL.
No
22°C
$2,420 KL.
No
23°C
$2,628 KL.
No
24°C
$5,518 KL.
Yes
25°C
$5,978 KL.
No
26°C or higher
$6,705 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, which projects a daytime peak of 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Current observations from KMA stations confirm morning temperatures climbing steadily toward this cap, consistent with regional ensemble model runs showing minimal convective activity and no heat advection from inland areas—aligning with May climatology where Busan averages highs of 22–24°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar insolation from unexpected clearing skies or microscale urban heating effects, potentially nudging readings to 25°C; KMA's evening update will provide final observational data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 9, 2026, 7:52 AM ET
Khối lượng
$40,620Ngày kết thúc
May 11, 2026Thị trường mở
May 9, 2026, 7:52 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, which projects a daytime peak of 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Current observations from KMA stations confirm morning temperatures climbing steadily toward this cap, consistent with regional ensemble model runs showing minimal convective activity and no heat advection from inland areas—aligning with May climatology where Busan averages highs of 22–24°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar insolation from unexpected clearing skies or microscale urban heating effects, potentially nudging readings to 25°C; KMA's evening update will provide final observational data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$40,620Ngày kết thúc
May 11, 2026Thị trường mở
May 9, 2026, 7:52 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, which projects a daytime peak of 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Current observations from KMA stations confirm morning temperatures climbing steadily toward this cap, consistent with regional ensemble model runs showing minimal convective activity and no heat advection from inland areas—aligning with May climatology where Busan averages highs of 22–24°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar insolation from unexpected clearing skies or microscale urban heating effects, potentially nudging readings to 25°C; KMA's evening update will provide final observational data for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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