Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on May 2, 2026, driven by real-time observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport weather station (ZUUU), which recorded a peak of 25°C via Wunderground data—the market's resolution source. Morning reports from the China Meteorological Administration forecasted a maximum of 23°C amid overcast skies and light showers, but intraday measurements showed slight warming, likely from transient reductions in cloud cover despite persistent low-level moisture and cool air advection. Hourly station data confirms no exceedance, aligning with seasonal norms for early May (averaging 24-26°C highs). Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to archived data or discrepancies with non-airport stations, though market rules prioritize finalized Wunderground records; next CMA daily summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 2?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 2?
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$97,140 KL.
$97,140 KL.
May 2, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$97,140 KL.
$97,140 KL.
May 2, 2026
17°C or below
$3,670 KL.
No
18°C
$5,985 KL.
No
19°C
$6,086 KL.
No
20°C
$5,338 KL.
No
21°C
$4,960 KL.
No
22°C
$6,122 KL.
No
23°C
$7,453 KL.
No
24°C
$13,281 KL.
No
25°C
$12,648 KL.
Yes
26°C
$18,119 KL.
No
27°C or higher
$13,478 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on May 2, 2026, driven by real-time observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport weather station (ZUUU), which recorded a peak of 25°C via Wunderground data—the market's resolution source. Morning reports from the China Meteorological Administration forecasted a maximum of 23°C amid overcast skies and light showers, but intraday measurements showed slight warming, likely from transient reductions in cloud cover despite persistent low-level moisture and cool air advection. Hourly station data confirms no exceedance, aligning with seasonal norms for early May (averaging 24-26°C highs). Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to archived data or discrepancies with non-airport stations, though market rules prioritize finalized Wunderground records; next CMA daily summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$97,140Ngày kết thúc
May 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on May 2, 2026, driven by real-time observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport weather station (ZUUU), which recorded a peak of 25°C via Wunderground data—the market's resolution source. Morning reports from the China Meteorological Administration forecasted a maximum of 23°C amid overcast skies and light showers, but intraday measurements showed slight warming, likely from transient reductions in cloud cover despite persistent low-level moisture and cool air advection. Hourly station data confirms no exceedance, aligning with seasonal norms for early May (averaging 24-26°C highs). Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to archived data or discrepancies with non-airport stations, though market rules prioritize finalized Wunderground records; next CMA daily summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$97,140Ngày kết thúc
May 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on May 2, 2026, driven by real-time observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport weather station (ZUUU), which recorded a peak of 25°C via Wunderground data—the market's resolution source. Morning reports from the China Meteorological Administration forecasted a maximum of 23°C amid overcast skies and light showers, but intraday measurements showed slight warming, likely from transient reductions in cloud cover despite persistent low-level moisture and cool air advection. Hourly station data confirms no exceedance, aligning with seasonal norms for early May (averaging 24-26°C highs). Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to archived data or discrepancies with non-airport stations, though market rules prioritize finalized Wunderground records; next CMA daily summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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