Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 56°F or higher on May 9, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts projecting daytime highs of 65-70°F under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F, aligning with model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European models showing no cooling trends, amid climatological May 9 normals of 68°F. Recent days featured cooler starts to May but a warming ridge building over the Midwest. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen cold front or marine layer intrusion—are absent from guidance, with final observations expected by evening from official NWS records.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on May 9?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 9?
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$176,568 KL.
$176,568 KL.
May 9, 2026
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$176,568 KL.
$176,568 KL.
May 9, 2026
37°F or below
$18,610 KL.
No
38-39°F
$8,930 KL.
No
40-41°F
$12,823 KL.
No
42-43°F
$8,854 KL.
No
44-45°F
$12,221 KL.
No
46-47°F
$13,563 KL.
No
48-49°F
$11,048 KL.
No
50-51°F
$19,949 KL.
No
52-53°F
$15,154 KL.
No
54-55°F
$20,628 KL.
No
56°F or higher
$34,788 KL.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 56°F or higher on May 9, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts projecting daytime highs of 65-70°F under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F, aligning with model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European models showing no cooling trends, amid climatological May 9 normals of 68°F. Recent days featured cooler starts to May but a warming ridge building over the Midwest. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen cold front or marine layer intrusion—are absent from guidance, with final observations expected by evening from official NWS records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$176,568Ngày kết thúc
May 9, 2026Thị trường mở
May 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 56°F or higher on May 9, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts projecting daytime highs of 65-70°F under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F, aligning with model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European models showing no cooling trends, amid climatological May 9 normals of 68°F. Recent days featured cooler starts to May but a warming ridge building over the Midwest. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen cold front or marine layer intrusion—are absent from guidance, with final observations expected by evening from official NWS records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$176,568Ngày kết thúc
May 9, 2026Thị trường mở
May 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 56°F or higher on May 9, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts projecting daytime highs of 65-70°F under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F, aligning with model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European models showing no cooling trends, amid climatological May 9 normals of 68°F. Recent days featured cooler starts to May but a warming ridge building over the Midwest. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen cold front or marine layer intrusion—are absent from guidance, with final observations expected by evening from official NWS records.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp