Current forecasts from multiple models place Chongqing's maximum temperature on September 2 near 33–35 °C under sunny to mostly clear conditions with light easterly winds and low precipitation chances, driving the tight 38 % market-implied odds on both 34 °C and 35 °C. Regional high-pressure influence and the city's topographic basin are limiting daytime mixing and sustaining warmth close to recent late-August peaks, while slight differences in timing of peak heating or boundary-layer moisture create the narrow spread versus 33 °C or 36 °C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24–48 hours, along with any revised guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies, remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 2?
34°C 40%
35°C 38%
33°C 12%
36°C 9%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
12%
34°C
40%
35°C
38%
36°C
9%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 40%
35°C 38%
33°C 12%
36°C 9%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
12%
34°C
40%
35°C
38%
36°C
9%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models place Chongqing's maximum temperature on September 2 near 33–35 °C under sunny to mostly clear conditions with light easterly winds and low precipitation chances, driving the tight 38 % market-implied odds on both 34 °C and 35 °C. Regional high-pressure influence and the city's topographic basin are limiting daytime mixing and sustaining warmth close to recent late-August peaks, while slight differences in timing of peak heating or boundary-layer moisture create the narrow spread versus 33 °C or 36 °C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24–48 hours, along with any revised guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies, remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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