**Recent post-rainfall cooling across Chongqing, combined with clearing skies expected overnight into September 1, drives the market's emphasis on lower minimum temperatures.** Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in public forecasts) project overnight lows of 23–25°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, with reduced humidity and light northeasterly winds limiting radiative cooling compared to peak summer patterns. The elevated 46.5% implied probability on 18°C or below reflects trader caution over model spread, local topographic effects in the municipality's varied terrain, and the chance of stronger nocturnal cooling if cloud cover remains minimal. In contrast, the 29.5% on 28°C or higher aligns with residual warmth if daytime heating persists longer than expected. Upcoming CMA updates and refined model outputs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 1?
18°C or below 94%
28°C or higher 59%
19°C 49%
20°C 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
18°C or below
94%
19°C
49%
20°C
49%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
25%
24°C
49%
25°C
43%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
59%
18°C or below 94%
28°C or higher 59%
19°C 49%
20°C 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
18°C or below
$0 KL.
94%
19°C
$0 KL.
49%
20°C
$0 KL.
49%
21°C
$0 KL.
26%
22°C
$0 KL.
26%
23°C
$0 KL.
25%
24°C
$0 KL.
49%
25°C
$0 KL.
43%
26°C
$0 KL.
2%
27°C
$0 KL.
8%
28°C or higher
$0 KL.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent post-rainfall cooling across Chongqing, combined with clearing skies expected overnight into September 1, drives the market's emphasis on lower minimum temperatures.** Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in public forecasts) project overnight lows of 23–25°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, with reduced humidity and light northeasterly winds limiting radiative cooling compared to peak summer patterns. The elevated 46.5% implied probability on 18°C or below reflects trader caution over model spread, local topographic effects in the municipality's varied terrain, and the chance of stronger nocturnal cooling if cloud cover remains minimal. In contrast, the 29.5% on 28°C or higher aligns with residual warmth if daytime heating persists longer than expected. Upcoming CMA updates and refined model outputs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent post-rainfall cooling across Chongqing, combined with clearing skies expected overnight into September 1, drives the market's emphasis on lower minimum temperatures.** Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in public forecasts) project overnight lows of 23–25°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, with reduced humidity and light northeasterly winds limiting radiative cooling compared to peak summer patterns. The elevated 46.5% implied probability on 18°C or below reflects trader caution over model spread, local topographic effects in the municipality's varied terrain, and the chance of stronger nocturnal cooling if cloud cover remains minimal. In contrast, the 29.5% on 28°C or higher aligns with residual warmth if daytime heating persists longer than expected. Upcoming CMA updates and refined model outputs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent post-rainfall cooling across Chongqing, combined with clearing skies expected overnight into September 1, drives the market's emphasis on lower minimum temperatures.** Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in public forecasts) project overnight lows of 23–25°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, with reduced humidity and light northeasterly winds limiting radiative cooling compared to peak summer patterns. The elevated 46.5% implied probability on 18°C or below reflects trader caution over model spread, local topographic effects in the municipality's varied terrain, and the chance of stronger nocturnal cooling if cloud cover remains minimal. In contrast, the 29.5% on 28°C or higher aligns with residual warmth if daytime heating persists longer than expected. Upcoming CMA updates and refined model outputs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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